Glossary
Every number on this site reads the same way: 100 is league average, higher is
better, and each point is one percent of league runs. That means the indexes add up. A great
bat and a great glove stack into one number instead of living on separate pages.
Our indexes
- NEXT+
- The headline number: everything a player does, as one rate. Hitting,
fielding, position, and pitching for the rare player who does both. 100 is average; 120 means
twenty percent more valuable than the average player, per opportunity.
- HIT+
- Run creation at the plate, adjusted for park and league. 100 is an average
hitter. Works like wRC+.
- PITCH+
- Run prevention on the mound, on the same scale. A 120 pitcher and a 120
hitter are equally far above average.
- FIELD+
- Defense at a position, on the same scale. 100 is the average fielder at
that position, so a 110 shortstop and a 110 left fielder are each ten percent better than
their own peers.
Value stats
- nWAR and pWAR
- Wins above replacement, for position players and pitchers. How many
wins a player added compared to a freely available fill-in, combining all his ledgers.
- Bat runs
- Runs above or below the average hitter, with the bat alone.
- Def runs
- Runs saved or cost in the field, including the value of playing a harder
position. Real runs, not index points.
- Runs saved
- For pitchers and fielders: runs prevented compared to an average player
given the same workload.
Rate stats
- AVG / OBP / SLG
- The classic slash line: batting average, on-base percentage, and
slugging percentage. OPS is the last two added together.
- wOBA
- On-base percentage's smarter cousin: every way of reaching base is weighted
by how many runs it is actually worth.
- K% and BB%
- Strikeouts and walks as a share of plate appearances (for hitters) or
batters faced (for pitchers).
- Whiff%
- Swings that miss, as a share of all swings.
- Chase%
- Swings at pitches outside the strike zone, as a share of pitches outside
the zone.
Counting stats
- PA and BF
- Plate appearances for hitters, batters faced for pitchers. The
denominators for everything.
- G, AB, R, H, 2B, 3B, HR, RBI, BB, SO, SB
- Games, at bats, runs, hits, doubles,
triples, home runs, runs batted in, walks, strikeouts, stolen bases. The box score.
- Chances
- Batted balls a fielder was responsible for. The fielding denominator.
Statcast
- Exit velocity
- How hard the ball leaves the bat, in miles per hour. Average is
around 89.
- Launch angle
- The vertical angle the ball leaves the bat. Line drives live in the
low teens.
- Barrel%
- The share of batted balls hit with the near-ideal combination of speed and
angle. Barrels become extra-base hits more often than anything else.
- Hard-hit%
- The share of batted balls at 95 mph or harder.
- Sweet-spot%
- The share of batted balls launched between 8 and 32 degrees.
- xBA, xSLG, xwOBA
- Expected stats: what a player's line would look like if every
batted ball got the league-average result for its speed and angle. Good for spotting luck.
- Sprint speed
- Feet per second at full effort. 27 is about average; 30 is elite.
- Framing
- Runs a catcher adds by getting borderline pitches called strikes.
Reading the projections
Projections here are built the same way the season-to-date numbers are measured, and every
projected column says which season it is for. A projection is an estimate of true talent, so
it will always look tamer than a hot streak. That is the point.