Every contract priced against our projection: projected 2027 wins at the market rate of roughly eight million dollars per win, minus what the player is actually paid. Salary figures are public estimates from Cots Baseball Contracts; the market rate is a heuristic, not a contract prediction.
| Player | Team | Pos | 2026 salary | Proj WAR | Market value | Surplus | Terms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pete Crow-Armstrong | CHC | cf | $0.9M | 4.8 | $38.3M | +$37.4M | 1 y/$894,000 (26) 6 y/$115 (27-32) |
| Junior Caminero | TB | 3b | $0.8M | 4.4 | $35.5M | +$34.7M | 1 y/$794,800 (26) |
| Nick Kurtz | ATH | 1b | $0.8M | 3.9 | $31.5M | +$30.7M | 1 y/$785,000 (26) |
| James Wood | WSH | dh-lf | $0.8M | 3.7 | $29.6M | +$28.8M | 1 y/$806,900 (26) |
| Elly De La Cruz | CIN | ss | $0.8M | 3.6 | $29.2M | +$28.4M | 1 y/$800,000 (26) |
| Drake Baldwin | ATL | c | $0.8M | 3.5 | $28.3M | +$27.5M | 1 y/$800,000 (26) |
| Gunnar Henderson | BAL | ss | $8.5M | 4.5 | $35.7M | +$27.2M | 1 y/$8.5M (26) |
| Dillon Dingler | DET | c | $0.8M | 3.4 | $27.5M | +$26.6M | 1 y/$834,900 (26) |
| Gabriel Moreno | ARI | c | $2.5M | 3.6 | $29.0M | +$26.5M | 1 y/$2.525M (26) |
| Iván Herrera | STL | c-dh | $0.8M | 3.3 | $26.8M | +$26.0M | 1 y/$798,900 (26) |
| Adley Rutschman | BOS | c | $2.1M | 3.4 | $27.5M | +$25.4M | 1 y/$7.25M (26) |
| Brice Turang | MIL | 2b | $4.2M | 3.6 | $28.9M | +$24.8M | 1 y/$4.15M (26) |
| Jackson Merrill | SD | cf | $2.1M | 3.4 | $26.8M | +$24.7M | 9 y/$135M (26-34) |
| Ben Rice | NYY | c-1b | $0.8M | 3.2 | $25.3M | +$24.5M | 1 y/$845,800 (26) |
| Corbin Carroll | ARI | lf | $10.6M | 4.4 | $35.0M | +$24.4M | 8 y/$111M (23-30)+31 cl opt |
| Wyatt Langford | TEX | lf | $0.8M | 3.1 | $25.0M | +$24.2M | 1 y/$805,000 (26) |
| Miguel Vargas | CWS | 3b | $0.8M | 3.1 | $25.0M | +$24.2M | 1 y/$805,700 (26) |
| Andy Pages | LAD | cf | $0.8M | 2.9 | $22.9M | +$22.1M | 1 y/$800,000 (26) |
| Paul Skenes | PIT | rhp-s | $1.1M | 2.9 | $23.1M | +$22.0M | 1 y/$1.085M (26) |
| Wilyer Abreu | BOS | of | $0.8M | 2.8 | $22.3M | +$21.4M | 1 y/$810,000 (26) |
| Geraldo Perdomo | ARI | ss | $6.2M | 3.4 | $27.6M | +$21.3M | 4 y/$45M (26-29)+30 cl opt |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | KC | ss | $14.1M | 4.4 | $35.3M | +$21.2M | 11 yr/$288.7M (24-34)+opt |
| Shohei Ohtani | LAD | dh-rhp | $28.2M | 6.2 | $49.3M | +$21.1M | 10 y/$700M (24-33)* |
| CJ Abrams | WSH | 2b-ss | $4.2M | 3.1 | $25.1M | +$20.9M | 1 y/$4.2M (26) |
| Cristopher Sánchez | PHI | lhp-s | $3.5M | 3.0 | $24.2M | +$20.7M | 4 y/$22.5 (25-28) 6 y/$104 (27-32) |
| Carter Jensen | KC | c | $0.8M | 2.6 | $21.2M | +$20.4M | 1 y/$781,150 (26) |
| Jonathan Aranda | TB | 2b | $0.8M | 2.6 | $20.9M | +$20.1M | 1 y/$796,400 (26) |
| Otto Lopez | MIA | 2b | $0.8M | 2.6 | $20.6M | +$19.8M | 1 y/$810,500 (26) |
| Bryan Woo | SEA | rhp-s | $0.8M | 2.5 | $20.3M | +$19.5M | 1 y/$831,600 (26) |
| Shea Langeliers | ATH | c | $5.2M | 3.1 | $24.5M | +$19.2M | 1 y/$5.25M (26) |
| Cal Raleigh | SEA | c | $12.7M | 3.9 | $31.5M | +$18.9M | 6 y/$105M (25-30)+31 v opt |
| Cole Young | SEA | ss | $0.8M | 2.5 | $19.6M | +$18.8M | 1 y/$786,100 (26) |
| Michael Busch | CHC | 3b | $0.9M | 2.4 | $19.4M | +$18.5M | 1 y/$860,000 (26) |
| Freddy Peralta | TB | rhp-s | $2.4M | 2.6 | $20.6M | +$18.2M | 5 y/$15.5M (20-24)+25-26 opts |
| Jac Caglianone | KC | rf-1b | $0.8M | 2.4 | $18.9M | +$18.1M | 1 y/$784,000 (26) |
| Zach Neto | LAA | ss | $4.2M | 2.8 | $22.2M | +$18.1M | 1 y/$4.15M (26) |
| Alec Burleson | STL | 1b | $3.3M | 2.7 | $21.3M | +$18.0M | 1 y/$3.3M (26) |
| Sal Stewart | CIN | 1b | $0.8M | 2.3 | $18.1M | +$17.3M | 1 y/$781,500 (26) |
| William Contreras | MIL | c | $9.4M | 3.3 | $26.6M | +$17.2M | 1 y/$9.4M (26)+27 cl opt |
| Jackson Chourio | MIL | of | $7.2M | 3.0 | $24.4M | +$17.1M | 8 y/$82M (24-31)+32-33 opts |
| Hunter Goodman | COL | c | $0.8M | 2.2 | $17.9M | +$17.1M | 1 y/$810,000 (26) |
| Gavin Williams | CLE | rhp-s | $0.8M | 2.1 | $17.2M | +$16.4M | 1 y/$822,200 (26) |
| Oneil Cruz | PIT | cf | $3.3M | 2.4 | $19.6M | +$16.3M | 1 y/$3.3M (26) |
| Andrew Abbott | CIN | lhp-s | $0.8M | 2.1 | $17.0M | +$16.2M | 1 y/$800,000 (26) |
| Shane Smith | CWS | rhp-s | $0.4M | 2.1 | $16.5M | +$16.1M | 1 y/$825,900 (26) |
| Riley Greene | DET | lf | $5.0M | 2.6 | $21.1M | +$16.1M | 1 y/$5M (26) |
| Reese Olson | DET | rhp-s | $0.8M | 2.1 | $16.8M | +$16.0M | 1 y/$818,100 (26) |
| Luis García Jr. | NYY | 2b | $2.0M | 2.2 | $17.9M | +$15.9M | 1 y/$6.875M (26) |
| Tyler Soderstrom | ATH | lf | $1.4M | 2.2 | $17.3M | +$15.8M | 7 y/$86M (26-32)+33 cl opt |
| Cade Horton | CHC | rhp-s | $0.8M | 2.1 | $16.6M | +$15.8M | 1 y/$817,500 (26) |
Minimum two million dollar salary; pre-arbitration players cannot be bad contracts.
| Player | Team | Pos | 2026 salary | Proj WAR | Market value | Surplus | Terms |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve | HOU | 2b-lf | $33.0M | 0.4 | $3.1M | $-29.9M | 5 y/$125M (25-29) |
| Cody Bellinger | NYY | cf | $42.5M | 1.9 | $15.1M | $-27.4M | 5 y/$162.5M (26-30) |
| Giancarlo Stanton | NYY | dh-rf | $29.0M | 0.3 | $2.5M | $-26.5M | 13 y/$325M (15-27)+28 opt |
| Javier Báez | DET | ss-cf | $24.0M | 0.1 | $0.6M | $-23.4M | 6 y/$140M (22-27) |
| Bo Bichette | NYM | 3b | $42.0M | 2.3 | $18.7M | $-23.3M | 3 y/$126M (26-28) |
| Juan Soto | NYM | lf | $61.9M | 4.8 | $38.8M | $-23.1M | 15 y/$765M (25-39) |
| Carlos Correa | HOU | 3b | $32.8M | 1.4 | $11.3M | $-21.5M | 6 yr/$200M (23-28)+opts |
| Nolan Arenado | ARI | 3b | $24.4M | 0.4 | $3.1M | $-21.3M | 8 y/$260M (19-26)+'27 extn* |
| Trevor Story | BOS | ss | $25.0M | 0.6 | $4.9M | $-20.1M | 6 y/$140M (22-27)+28 cl opt |
| Zack Wheeler | PHI | rhp-s | $42.0M | 2.9 | $22.9M | $-19.1M | 3 y/$126M (25-27) |
| Masataka Yoshida | BOS | lf | $18.6M | 0.2 | $1.4M | $-17.2M | 5 y/$90M (23-27) |
| Jacob deGrom | TEX | rhp-s | $38.0M | 2.6 | $21.1M | $-16.9M | 5 y/$185M (23-27)+28 opt |
| Corbin Burnes | ARI | rhp-s | $31.0M | 1.8 | $14.6M | $-16.3M | 6 y/$210M (25-30)* |
| Ha-Seong Kim | ATL | ss | $20.0M | 0.5 | $4.1M | $-15.9M | 1 y/$20M (26) |
| Christian Yelich | MIL | lf | $24.0M | 1.0 | $8.3M | $-15.7M | 9 y/$215M (20-28)+29 m opt* |
| Marcus Semien | NYM | 2b | $26.0M | 1.4 | $11.0M | $-15.0M | 7 y/$175M (22-28) |
| Xander Bogaerts | SD | ss | $25.5M | 1.3 | $10.6M | $-14.8M | 11 y/$280M (23-33) |
| Josh Hader | HOU | lhp-c | $19.0M | 0.5 | $4.2M | $-14.8M | 5 y/$95M (24-28) |
| Jung Hoo Lee | SF | rf | $23.2M | 1.1 | $9.1M | $-14.1M | 6 y/$113M (24-29) |
| George Springer | TOR | rf | $24.2M | 1.3 | $10.1M | $-14.1M | 6 yr/$150M (21-26) |
| Mike Trout | LAA | cf | $37.1M | 2.9 | $23.1M | $-14.0M | 12 y/$426.5M (19-30) |
| Aaron Nola | PHI | rhp-s | $24.6M | 1.3 | $10.7M | $-13.9M | 7 y/$172M (24-30) |
| Christian Walker | HOU | 1b | $20.0M | 0.8 | $6.3M | $-13.7M | 3 y/$60M (25-27) |
| Cristian Javier | HOU | rhp-s | $21.4M | 1.0 | $8.2M | $-13.2M | 5 y/$64M (23-27) |
| Tyler Glasnow | LAD | rhp-s | $32.5M | 2.5 | $19.8M | $-12.7M | 5 y/$136,562,500 (24-28) |
| Luis Severino | ATH | rhp-s | $25.0M | 1.5 | $12.3M | $-12.7M | 3 y/$67M (25-27) |
| Corey Seager | TEX | ss | $31.5M | 2.4 | $19.0M | $-12.5M | 10 y/$325M (22-31) |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | TOR | 1b | $40.2M | 3.5 | $27.7M | $-12.5M | 14 y/$500 (26-39) |
| Raisel Iglesias | ATL | rhp-c | $16.0M | 0.5 | $3.6M | $-12.4M | 1 y/$16M (26) |
| Sonny Gray | BOS | rhp-s | $31.0M | 2.3 | $18.6M | $-12.4M | 3 y/$75M (24-26)+27 cl opt* |
| Andrew Benintendi | CWS | lf | $17.1M | 0.6 | $4.8M | $-12.3M | 5 y/$75M (23-27) |
| Blake Treinen | LAD | rhp | $13.5M | 0.2 | $1.4M | $-12.1M | 2 y/$22M (25-26) |
| Nathan Eovaldi | TEX | rhp-s | $29.0M | 2.1 | $17.0M | $-12.0M | 3 y/$75M (25-27) |
| Trea Turner | PHI | ss | $27.3M | 1.9 | $15.3M | $-12.0M | 11 y/$300M (23-33) |
| Joc Pederson | TEX | dh-lf | $18.5M | 0.8 | $6.7M | $-11.8M | 2 y/$37M (25-26) |
| Manny Machado | SD | 3b | $25.1M | 1.7 | $13.3M | $-11.8M | 11 y/$350M (23-33) |
| Gleyber Torres | DET | 2b | $22.0M | 1.3 | $10.2M | $-11.8M | 1 y/$22.025M (26) |
| Dansby Swanson | CHC | ss | $28.0M | 2.0 | $16.3M | $-11.7M | 7 y/$177M (23-29) |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. | ARI | dh | $13.0M | 0.2 | $1.3M | $-11.7M | 3 y/$42M (24-26)+27 cl opt |
| Ryan Helsley | BAL | rhp-c | $14.0M | 0.3 | $2.5M | $-11.5M | 2 y/$28M (26-27) |
| Eugenio Suárez | CIN | 3b | $15.0M | 0.5 | $3.7M | $-11.3M | 1 y/$15M (26)+27 m opt |
| Kyle Tucker | LAD | rf | $33.0M | 2.7 | $21.7M | $-11.3M | 4 y/$240M (26-29)* |
| Ryan McMahon | NYY | 3b | $16.0M | 0.6 | $4.9M | $-11.1M | 6 yr/$70M (22-27) |
| Jeff McNeil | ATH | 2b | $15.8M | 0.6 | $4.7M | $-11.1M | 4 yr/$50M (23-26)+27 cl opt |
| Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI | lhp-s | $21.0M | 1.3 | $10.2M | $-10.8M | 4 y/$80M (24-27)+28 v opt |
| Luis Robert Jr. | NYM | cf | $20.0M | 1.2 | $9.4M | $-10.6M | 6 y/$50M (20-25)+26-27 opts |
| Matt Chapman | SF | 3b | $25.2M | 1.8 | $14.7M | $-10.5M | 6 y/$151M (25-30) |
| Tyler O'Neill | BAL | lf | $16.5M | 0.8 | $6.2M | $-10.3M | 3 y/$49.5M (25-27) |
| Devin Williams | NYM | rhp-c | $14.1M | 0.5 | $3.9M | $-10.2M | 3 y/$51M (26-28)* |
| Jorge Polanco | NYM | 1b-3b | $17.0M | 0.8 | $6.8M | $-10.2M | 2 y/$40M (26-27) |