2026 team projections

AL Central

Team	W	L	RS	RA	Div	Playoffs	WS	Range
Royals	82.3	79.7	754	752	36%	47%	2.0%	72 to 93
Tigers	81.2	80.8	732	737	30%	40%	1.7%	71 to 92
Guardians	79.5	82.5	711	727	22%	30%	1.0%	69 to 90
Twins	76.6	85.4	713	752	11%	16%	0.3%	66 to 87
White Sox	69.5	92.5	686	775	1%	2%	0.0%	59 to 80

Team	W	L	RS	RA	Div	Playoffs	WS	Range
Yankees	92.1	69.9	822	729	63%	90%	15.3%	82 to 102
Blue Jays	84.4	77.6	764	732	14%	54%	3.1%	74 to 95
Orioles	84.1	77.9	780	752	13%	52%	3.1%	74 to 94
Red Sox	81.6	80.4	752	741	7%	36%	1.3%	71 to 92
Rays	79.4	82.6	727	736	3%	24%	0.7%	69 to 90

Team	W	L	RS	RA	Div	Playoffs	WS	Range
Mariners	92.8	69.2	819	728	74%	92%	14.7%	83 to 103
Astros	83.8	78.2	765	744	13%	50%	2.6%	74 to 94
Rangers	81.2	80.8	760	757	7%	34%	1.3%	71 to 92
Athletics	81.0	81.0	759	760	6%	32%	1.1%	71 to 91
Angels	67.8	94.2	680	772	0%	1%	0.0%	58 to 78

Team	W	L	RS	RA	Div	Playoffs	WS	Range
Cubs	89.6	72.4	782	722	63%	81%	7.2%	79 to 100
Brewers	85.4	76.6	743	715	30%	58%	3.1%	75 to 96
Pirates	77.0	85.0	713	745	4%	13%	0.2%	67 to 87
Reds	75.5	86.5	700	744	3%	9%	0.1%	65 to 86
Cardinals	71.6	90.4	688	761	1%	3%	0.0%	61 to 82

Team	W	L	RS	RA	Div	Playoffs	WS	Range
Braves	89.8	72.2	807	747	43%	80%	6.9%	79 to 100
Mets	89.0	73.0	822	760	37%	77%	6.1%	79 to 99
Phillies	85.7	76.3	771	737	20%	59%	2.9%	75 to 96
Nationals	70.5	91.5	691	770	0%	2%	0.0%	60 to 81
Marlins	70.0	92.0	674	754	0%	2%	0.0%	60 to 80

Team	W	L	RS	RA	Div	Playoffs	WS	Range
Dodgers	96.2	65.8	846	730	81%	97%	20.1%	86 to 106
D-backs	85.1	76.9	770	739	9%	55%	2.6%	75 to 95
Padres	84.6	77.4	763	735	8%	51%	2.4%	74 to 95
Giants	77.6	84.4	717	745	1%	14%	0.2%	67 to 88
Rockies	65.9	96.1	672	781	0%	0%	0.0%	56 to 76

The line opposing hitters have managed; lower is better.

Team	Division	Ours	ZiPS	FanGraphs	PECOTA
Dodgers	NL West	0.576	0.599	0.608	0.636
Mariners	AL West	0.560	0.543	0.547	0.583
Yankees	AL East	0.557	0.543	0.551	0.547
Cubs	NL Central	0.543	0.537	0.515	0.556
Mets	NL East	0.542	0.549	0.557	0.552
Braves	NL East	0.541	0.519	0.547	0.548
Phillies	NL East	0.524	0.562	0.534	0.524
Brewers	NL Central	0.522	0.525	0.519	0.506
D-backs	NL West	0.520	0.506	0.501	0.491
Padres	NL West	0.519	0.512	0.482	0.502
Blue Jays	AL East	0.518	0.549	0.533	0.543
Orioles	AL East	0.515	0.543	0.508	0.514
Astros	AL West	0.514	0.519	0.507	0.522
Royals	AL Central	0.506	0.506	0.501	0.521
Red Sox	AL East	0.504	0.556	0.514	0.512
Rangers	AL West	0.502	0.500	0.524	0.520
Tigers	AL Central	0.501	0.531	0.519	0.521
Athletics	AL West	0.499	0.457	0.470	0.474
Guardians	AL Central	0.492	0.481	0.472	0.462
Rays	AL East	0.491	0.457	0.491	0.512
Giants	NL West	0.481	0.519	0.500	0.509
Pirates	NL Central	0.480	0.488	0.510	0.492
Twins	AL Central	0.477	0.475	0.485	0.483
Reds	NL Central	0.472	0.469	0.485	0.481
Cardinals	NL Central	0.452	0.469	0.469	0.414
Nationals	NL East	0.447	0.389	0.428	0.414
Marlins	NL East	0.444	0.469	0.478	0.461
White Sox	AL Central	0.443	0.444	0.415	0.430
Angels	AL West	0.436	0.414	0.448	0.404
Rockies	NL West	0.425	0.370	0.382	0.367