Season Props futures beyond team wins

Season-long player and team markets priced from current totals plus our rest-of-season distributions. Open a section, sort any column, or search across all of them.

World Series winner

Our simulated probability against the best available outright price across DraftKings, FanDuel, and BetMGM, de-vigged per book. The only season futures market our odds feed serves; division, pennant, and win totals below are model fair values without a wired market.

Team	Our WS %	Best price	Market % (de-vig)
Dodgers	20.1	+170	31.5
Yankees	15.3	+800	9.5
Mariners	14.7	+4000	2.1
Cubs	7.2	+1500	5.3
Braves	6.9	+1400	5.5
Mets	6.1	+100000	0.1
Brewers	3.1	+850	8.7
Blue Jays	3.1	+8000	1.1
Orioles	3.1	+12500	0.7
Phillies	2.9	+1700	4.8
D-backs	2.6	+10000	0.9
Astros	2.6	+2700	3.1
Padres	2.4	+4000	2.1
Royals	2.0	+100000	0.1
Tigers	1.7	+8000	1.1
Red Sox	1.3	+1400	5.7
Rangers	1.3	+5000	1.7
Athletics	1.1	+100000	0.1
Guardians	1.0	+6500	1.3
Rays	0.7	+1100	6.9
Twins	0.3	+10000	0.9
Pirates	0.2	+100000	0.1
Giants	0.2	+100000	0.1
Reds	0.1	+100000	0.1
Angels	0.0	+100000	0.1
Cardinals	0.0	+100000	0.1
Nationals	0.0	+100000	0.1
Marlins	0.0	+70000	0.1
White Sox	0.0	+2800	2.8
Rockies	0.0	+100000	0.1

Season home runs over/under

Player	Team	Line	Now	Proj final	Over %	Under %
Kyle Schwarber	PHI	45.5	37	45	46.4	53.6
Matt Olson	ATL	43.5	36	43	46.2	53.8
Yordan Alvarez	HOU	44.5	36	44	39.1	60.9
Junior Caminero	TB	43.5	35	43	40.1	59.9
Hunter Goodman	COL	41.5	34	41	40.7	59.3
Ben Rice	NYY	41.5	34	41	42.7	57.3
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CHC	39.5	32	39	40.3	59.7
Pete Alonso	BAL	37.5	30	37	40.5	59.5
James Wood	WSH	36.5	30	36	48.3	51.7
Shohei Ohtani	LAD	37.5	30	37	45.1	54.9
CJ Abrams	WSH	34.5	29	34	49.2	50.8
Munetaka Murakami	CWS	34.5	29	34	35.8	64.2
Miguel Vargas	CWS	35.5	29	35	42.2	57.8
Colson Montgomery	CWS	33.5	27	33	39.2	60.8
Jordan Walker	STL	32.5	27	32	46.5	53.5
Sal Stewart	CIN	32.5	27	32	49.4	50.6
Brandon Lowe	PIT	33.5	27	33	41.7	58.3
Willson Contreras	BOS	31.5	26	31	45.6	54.4
Rafael Devers	SF	32.5	26	32	42.3	57.7
Kazuma Okamoto	TOR	31.5	26	31	36.9	63.1
Dillon Dingler	DET	31.5	26	31	43.1	56.9
Max Muncy	LAD	31.5	26	31	45.7	54.3
Bryce Harper	PHI	30.5	25	30	46.5	53.5
Byron Buxton	MIN	31.5	25	31	37.9	62.1
Luis Garcia	NYY	30.5	25	30	37.6	62.4
Manny Machado	SD	29.5	24	29	45.0	55.0
Christian Walker	HOU	28.5	23	28	39.3	60.7
Shea Langeliers	ATH	28.5	23	28	46.2	53.8
Seiya Suzuki	CHC	27.5	22	27	37.9	62.1
Jake Bauers	MIL	26.5	22	26	48.4	51.6
Wilyer Abreu	BOS	27.5	22	27	45.8	54.2
Jac Caglianone	KC	27.5	22	27	44.8	55.2
Drake Baldwin	ATL	25.5	21	25	50.0	50.0
Ian Happ	CHC	26.5	21	26	35.9	64.1
Jake Burger	TEX	26.5	21	26	39.0	61.0
Casey Schmitt	SF	25.5	21	25	47.2	52.8
Nick Kurtz	ATH	26.5	21	26	48.9	51.1
Alec Burleson	STL	26.5	21	26	37.6	62.4
Andy Pages	LAD	26.5	21	26	36.1	63.9
Zach Neto	LAA	26.5	21	26	40.5	59.5
Kody Clemens	MIN	26.5	21	26	36.6	63.4
Ketel Marte	ARI	26.5	21	26	41.6	58.4
Elly De La Cruz	CIN	24.5	20	24	44.2	55.8
Willy Adames	SF	25.5	20	25	36.7	63.3
Spencer Torkelson	DET	25.5	20	25	37.0	63.0
Michael Harris	ATL	24.5	20	24	46.7	53.3
Gunnar Henderson	BAL	25.5	20	25	38.5	61.5
Mike Trout	LAA	25.5	20	25	39.4	60.6
Nolan Arenado	ARI	24.5	20	24	38.6	61.4
Ozzie Albies	ATL	24.5	20	24	45.4	54.6
JJ Bleday	CIN	24.5	20	24	45.1	54.9
Jackson Merrill	SD	23.5	19	23	48.4	51.5
Jo Adell	CLE	24.5	19	24	41.9	58.1
Tyler Soderstrom	ATH	23.5	19	23	49.5	50.5
Julio Rodriguez	SEA	24.5	19	24	39.6	60.4
Yandy Diaz	TB	23.5	19	23	41.0	59.0
Dansby Swanson	CHC	22.5	18	22	38.8	61.2
Brooks Lee	MIN	22.5	18	22	35.1	64.9
Eugenio Suarez	CIN	22.5	18	22	47.7	52.3
Alex Bregman	CHC	22.5	18	22	44.6	55.4
Corbin Carroll	ARI	23.5	18	23	40.9	59.1
Randy Arozarena	SEA	21.5	17	21	42.4	57.6
Ryan O'Hearn	PIT	20.5	17	20	48.3	51.7
Jackson Chourio	MIL	21.5	17	21	40.0	60.0
Trent Grisham	NYY	21.5	17	21	46.3	53.7
Trea Turner	PHI	21.5	17	21	34.2	65.8
Cam Smith	HOU	21.5	17	21	34.1	65.9
Jazz Chisholm	NYY	21.5	17	21	47.7	52.3
Carter Jensen	KC	21.5	17	21	43.4	56.6
Brandon Marsh	PHI	20.5	17	20	47.7	52.3
Jarren Duran	BOS	21.5	17	21	33.3	66.7
Josh Bell	MIN	21.5	17	21	41.5	58.5
Riley Greene	DET	20.5	16	20	44.8	55.2
Spencer Steer	CIN	19.5	16	19	46.7	53.3
Liam Hicks	TB	19.5	16	19	33.7	66.3
Salvador Perez	KC	20.5	16	20	47.2	52.8
Gavin Sheets	SD	19.5	16	19	42.5	57.5
Kyle Stowers	MIA	20.5	16	20	41.3	58.7
JJ Wetherholt	STL	20.5	16	20	36.5	63.5
Ceddanne Rafaela	BOS	19.5	16	19	45.7	54.3
Isaac Paredes	HOU	20.5	16	20	37.7	62.3
Bobby Witt	KC	20.5	16	20	48.3	51.7
Brice Turang	MIL	19.5	16	19	44.5	55.5
Jonathan Aranda	TB	19.5	15	19	35.3	64.7
Cole Young	SEA	18.5	15	18	47.1	52.9
Freddie Freeman	LAD	18.5	15	18	47.3	52.7
Austin Riley	ATL	19.5	15	19	45.7	54.3
Daylen Lile	WSH	18.5	15	18	46.9	53.1
Fernando Tatis	SD	20.5	15	20	35.5	64.5
Bryan Reynolds	PIT	19.5	15	19	33.4	66.6
Michael Busch	CHC	19.5	15	19	40.8	59.2
Carson Benge	NYM	18.5	15	18	48.5	51.5
Willi Castro	COL	17.5	14	17	39.5	60.5
Alec Bohm	PHI	17.5	14	17	40.6	59.4
Ivan Herrera	STL	17.5	14	17	47.5	52.5
Cal Raleigh	SEA	19.5	14	19	42.4	57.6
Marcus Semien	NYM	17.5	14	17	44.1	55.9
Cedric Mullins	TB	16.5	13	16	44.4	55.6
Kevin McGonigle	DET	16.5	13	16	48.0	52.0
Jose Altuve	HOU	16.5	13	16	40.6	59.4
Jake McCarthy	COL	15.5	13	15	42.4	57.6
Ezequiel Duran	TEX	16.5	13	16	33.5	66.5
Chase DeLauter	CLE	16.5	13	16	44.2	55.8
Bo Bichette	NYM	16.5	13	16	42.5	57.5
TJ Rumfield	COL	16.5	13	16	43.8	56.2
Brandon Nimmo	TEX	16.5	13	16	47.7	52.3
Caleb Durbin	BOS	14.5	12	14	47.3	52.7
Chase Meidroth	CWS	14.5	12	14	44.4	55.6
William Contreras	MIL	15.5	12	15	45.8	54.2
George Springer	TOR	15.5	12	15	43.6	56.4
Kyle Tucker	LAD	15.5	11	15	38.2	61.8
Lawrence Butler	ATH	14.5	11	14	35.3	64.7
Cody Bellinger	NYY	14.5	11	14	44.2	55.8
Xander Bogaerts	SD	14.5	11	14	31.0	69.0
Jose Ramirez	CLE	13.5	10	13	49.7	50.3
Josh Naylor	SEA	13.5	10	13	40.4	59.6
Gabriel Moreno	ARI	12.5	10	12	45.0	55.0
Brayan Rocchio	CLE	12.5	10	12	43.4	56.6
Kyle Karros	COL	12.5	10	12	37.4	62.6
Mauricio Dubon	ATL	12.5	10	12	38.7	61.3
Bryson Stott	PHI	11.5	9	11	41.7	58.3
Josh Jung	TEX	12.5	9	12	31.4	68.6
Ernie Clement	TOR	11.5	9	11	34.3	65.7
Garrett Mitchell	MIL	11.5	9	11	42.8	57.2
Ezequiel Tovar	COL	11.5	9	11	49.3	50.7
Ildemaro Vargas	ARI	11.5	9	11	34.5	65.5
Jung Hoo Lee	SF	11.5	9	11	34.1	65.9
Geraldo Perdomo	ARI	11.5	9	11	43.4	56.6
Christian Yelich	MIL	11.5	9	11	46.4	53.6
Otto Lopez	MIA	11.5	9	11	41.5	58.5
Travis Bazzana	CLE	12.5	9	12	31.5	68.5
Daulton Varsho	HOU	11.5	8	11	35.0	65.0
Brett Baty	NYM	11.5	8	11	33.2	66.8
Andres Gimenez	TOR	10.5	8	10	32.8	67.2
Sam Antonacci	CWS	11.5	8	11	30.1	69.9
Vladimir Guerrero	TOR	10.5	7	10	36.6	63.4
Leody Taveras	BAL	9.5	7	9	34.6	65.4
Taylor Ward	SEA	10.5	7	10	35.3	64.7
Jakob Marsee	MIA	9.5	7	9	39.4	60.6
Luke Keaschall	MIN	9.5	7	9	30.0	70.0
Nico Hoerner	CHC	9.5	7	9	25.4	74.6
Nolan Schanuel	LAA	9.5	7	9	34.1	65.9
Isaac Collins	KC	8.5	6	8	29.4	70.6
Luis Arraez	PHI	7.5	6	7	33.8	66.2
Xavier Edwards	MIA	7.5	6	7	33.6	66.4
Nick Gonzales	PIT	7.5	6	7	49.8	50.2
Masyn Winn	STL	7.5	5	7	29.1	70.9
Steven Kwan	CLE	3.5	2	3	31.0	69.0
Nasim Nuñez	WSH	1.5	1	1	43.9	56.1
Chandler Simpson	TB	0.5	0	0	0.0	100.0

Season hits over/under

Player	Team	Line	Now	Proj final	Over %	Under %
Luis Arraez	PHI	194.5	158	194	49.2	50.8
Otto Lopez	MIA	189.5	154	189	46.2	53.8
Yandy Diaz	TB	182.5	148	182	47.6	52.4
Yordan Alvarez	HOU	180.5	147	180	49.7	50.3
Jordan Walker	STL	175.5	143	175	45.6	54.4
Nick Gonzales	PIT	173.5	142	173	46.9	53.1
Freddie Freeman	LAD	174.5	142	174	48.5	51.5
Alec Burleson	STL	175.5	142	175	45.9	54.1
Fernando Tatis	SD	172.5	140	172	49.6	50.4
Ceddanne Rafaela	BOS	170.5	139	170	49.3	50.7
Chandler Simpson	TB	171.5	139	171	47.9	52.1
Ernie Clement	TOR	167.5	137	167	49.5	50.5
Michael Harris	ATL	168.5	137	168	49.3	50.7
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CHC	169.5	137	169	47.4	52.6
Kevin McGonigle	DET	165.5	135	165	48.8	51.2
Bo Bichette	NYM	168.5	135	168	48.8	51.2
Junior Caminero	TB	167.5	135	167	47.4	52.6
Shohei Ohtani	LAD	165.5	134	165	47.9	52.1
Andy Pages	LAD	165.5	134	165	49.0	51.0
Xavier Edwards	MIA	166.5	134	166	45.2	54.8
Jonathan Aranda	TB	164.5	133	164	47.4	52.6
Nico Hoerner	CHC	164.5	132	164	49.0	51.0
Pete Alonso	BAL	161.5	131	161	45.2	54.8
CJ Abrams	WSH	161.5	131	161	48.1	51.9
Jung Hoo Lee	SF	159.5	130	159	49.8	50.2
Matt Olson	ATL	159.5	130	159	48.9	51.1
Alex Bregman	CHC	159.5	129	159	45.7	54.3
TJ Rumfield	COL	156.5	128	156	46.8	53.2
Sal Stewart	CIN	157.5	127	157	46.0	54.0
Bryan Reynolds	PIT	155.5	126	155	48.5	51.5
Carson Benge	NYM	154.5	126	154	46.3	53.7
Josh Naylor	SEA	154.5	125	154	47.8	52.2
Brandon Nimmo	TEX	154.5	125	154	48.0	52.0
Bobby Witt	KC	156.5	125	156	48.1	51.9
Trea Turner	PHI	157.5	125	157	45.8	54.2
Wilyer Abreu	BOS	153.5	124	153	47.4	52.5
Brandon Marsh	PHI	152.5	124	152	48.5	51.5
Ozzie Albies	ATL	152.5	123	152	45.8	54.2
Chase Meidroth	CWS	151.5	123	151	48.5	51.5
Randy Arozarena	SEA	149.5	122	149	47.8	52.2
Brandon Lowe	PIT	150.5	122	150	44.5	55.5
Brice Turang	MIL	152.5	122	152	46.2	53.8
Mauricio Dubon	ATL	149.5	121	149	45.9	54.1
William Contreras	MIL	148.5	120	148	49.6	50.4
Cole Young	SEA	148.5	120	148	46.8	53.2
Daylen Lile	WSH	149.5	120	149	49.8	50.2
Jake McCarthy	COL	145.5	119	145	49.8	50.2
Jac Caglianone	KC	146.5	119	146	49.5	50.5
Michael Busch	CHC	146.5	118	146	47.9	52.1
Rafael Devers	SF	146.5	118	146	46.7	53.3
Ivan Herrera	STL	147.5	118	147	45.4	54.6
Ketel Marte	ARI	146.5	117	146	45.2	54.8
Julio Rodriguez	SEA	147.5	117	147	46.9	53.1
Isaac Paredes	HOU	143.5	117	143	46.5	53.5
Josh Bell	MIN	144.5	117	144	46.8	53.2
Chase DeLauter	CLE	144.5	116	144	44.2	55.8
JJ Wetherholt	STL	144.5	116	144	46.9	53.1
Bryce Harper	PHI	144.5	116	144	47.5	52.5
Corbin Carroll	ARI	145.5	116	145	47.2	52.8
James Wood	WSH	144.5	116	144	49.9	50.1
Jackson Merrill	SD	146.5	116	146	46.3	53.7
Dillon Dingler	DET	142.5	115	142	49.0	50.9
Zach Neto	LAA	143.5	115	143	44.6	55.4
Luis Garcia	NYY	142.5	115	142	46.8	53.2
Riley Greene	DET	143.5	115	143	45.2	54.8
Willson Contreras	BOS	140.5	115	140	49.7	50.3
Miguel Vargas	CWS	142.5	114	142	45.1	54.9
Gunnar Henderson	BAL	143.5	114	143	47.2	52.8
Ben Rice	NYY	141.5	114	141	46.6	53.4
Alec Bohm	PHI	142.5	113	142	44.5	55.5
Ezequiel Duran	TEX	139.5	113	139	45.4	54.6
Jo Adell	CLE	140.5	113	140	47.8	52.2
Vladimir Guerrero	TOR	141.5	113	141	47.7	52.3
Seiya Suzuki	CHC	139.5	113	139	48.6	51.3
Drake Baldwin	ATL	140.5	112	140	45.3	54.7
Liam Hicks	TB	137.5	112	137	48.8	51.2
Bryson Stott	PHI	139.5	112	139	45.0	55.0
Kyle Schwarber	PHI	136.5	111	136	48.1	51.9
Geraldo Perdomo	ARI	138.5	111	138	45.2	54.8
Elly De La Cruz	CIN	138.5	111	138	46.8	53.2
Gabriel Moreno	ARI	137.5	111	137	49.2	50.8
Luke Keaschall	MIN	136.5	110	136	46.5	53.5
Brooks Lee	MIN	136.5	110	136	48.5	51.5
Steven Kwan	CLE	136.5	109	136	48.4	51.6
Brayan Rocchio	CLE	134.5	109	134	46.2	53.8
Jackson Chourio	MIL	136.5	109	136	46.9	53.1
Nolan Schanuel	LAA	133.5	108	133	49.3	50.7
Jake Bauers	MIL	130.5	107	130	50.0	50.0
Taylor Ward	SEA	133.5	107	133	46.4	53.6
Christian Walker	HOU	130.5	106	130	49.8	50.2
Kazuma Okamoto	TOR	132.5	106	132	46.2	53.8
Casey Schmitt	SF	130.5	105	130	46.7	53.3
Jake Burger	TEX	130.5	105	130	48.5	51.5
Hunter Goodman	COL	128.5	104	128	48.7	51.3
Caleb Durbin	BOS	128.5	104	128	48.1	51.9
Willy Adames	SF	129.5	104	129	45.9	54.1
Josh Jung	TEX	129.5	104	129	46.1	53.9
Masyn Winn	STL	128.5	103	128	49.9	50.1
Willi Castro	COL	126.5	103	126	49.4	50.6
Austin Riley	ATL	128.5	102	128	44.3	55.7
Manny Machado	SD	128.5	102	128	49.9	50.1
Nolan Arenado	ARI	124.5	101	124	48.8	51.2
Salvador Perez	KC	127.5	101	127	45.8	54.2
Kyle Tucker	LAD	124.5	99	124	47.5	52.5
Shea Langeliers	ATH	123.5	99	123	49.7	50.3
Sam Antonacci	CWS	122.5	99	122	47.9	52.0
Colson Montgomery	CWS	122.5	99	122	47.6	52.4
Kody Clemens	MIN	121.5	98	121	48.0	52.0
Max Muncy	LAD	120.5	98	120	44.5	55.5
Ian Happ	CHC	122.5	98	122	46.5	53.5
Jose Altuve	HOU	122.5	98	122	47.3	52.7
Tyler Soderstrom	ATH	122.5	97	122	48.1	51.8
Spencer Torkelson	DET	120.5	97	120	48.3	51.7
Ryan O'Hearn	PIT	121.5	97	121	44.0	56.0
Cody Bellinger	NYY	122.5	97	122	44.3	55.7
Jarren Duran	BOS	122.5	96	122	46.2	53.8
Ildemaro Vargas	ARI	118.5	96	118	46.8	53.2
Garrett Mitchell	MIL	118.5	96	118	46.5	53.5
Mike Trout	LAA	117.5	94	117	46.9	53.1
Andres Gimenez	TOR	115.5	93	115	49.6	50.3
Carter Jensen	KC	116.5	93	116	44.7	55.3
Kyle Karros	COL	112.5	91	112	48.7	51.3
Xander Bogaerts	SD	115.5	91	115	48.1	51.9
Nick Kurtz	ATH	113.5	90	113	45.5	54.5
Cam Smith	HOU	113.5	90	113	46.3	53.7
Byron Buxton	MIN	113.5	90	113	44.0	56.0
Jazz Chisholm	NYY	111.5	89	111	48.1	51.9
Daulton Varsho	HOU	110.5	89	110	48.0	52.0
Dansby Swanson	CHC	110.5	87	110	44.4	55.6
Travis Bazzana	CLE	107.5	85	107	44.1	55.9
George Springer	TOR	107.5	85	107	44.3	55.7
Kyle Stowers	MIA	106.5	85	106	46.5	53.5
Jakob Marsee	MIA	106.5	85	106	48.5	51.5
Trent Grisham	NYY	104.5	84	104	47.0	53.0
Jose Ramirez	CLE	106.5	83	106	45.0	55.0
Nasim Nuñez	WSH	103.5	83	103	48.8	51.2
Isaac Collins	KC	103.5	83	103	45.4	54.6
Marcus Semien	NYM	103.5	82	103	46.5	53.5
Spencer Steer	CIN	101.5	81	101	44.7	55.3
Leody Taveras	BAL	100.5	80	100	45.8	54.2
Christian Yelich	MIL	100.5	79	100	45.5	54.5
Ezequiel Tovar	COL	101.5	79	101	46.2	53.8
JJ Bleday	CIN	96.5	77	96	48.9	51.0
Brett Baty	NYM	96.5	76	96	46.2	53.8
Cedric Mullins	TB	96.5	76	96	44.9	55.1
Lawrence Butler	ATH	94.5	75	94	47.9	52.1
Munetaka Murakami	CWS	96.5	75	96	45.8	54.2
Gavin Sheets	SD	94.5	74	94	44.1	55.9
Eugenio Suarez	CIN	89.5	71	89	48.3	51.7
Cal Raleigh	SEA	70.5	53	70	48.6	51.4

Season stolen bases over/under

Player	Team	Line	Now	Proj final	Over %	Under %
Nasim Nuñez	WSH	51.5	42	51	41.3	58.7
Chandler Simpson	TB	44.5	35	44	38.3	61.7
Jazz Chisholm	NYY	40.5	33	40	39.9	60.1
Bobby Witt	KC	40.5	33	40	42.3	57.7
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CHC	38.5	31	38	42.7	57.3
Jose Ramirez	CLE	35.5	29	35	37.4	62.6
Fernando Tatis	SD	34.5	28	34	41.1	58.9
Josh Naylor	SEA	29.5	25	29	49.7	50.3
Otto Lopez	MIA	30.5	25	30	41.4	58.6
CJ Abrams	WSH	30.5	24	30	36.0	63.9
Jackson Merrill	SD	29.5	24	29	36.4	63.6
Bryson Stott	PHI	28.5	23	28	41.0	59.0
Jake McCarthy	COL	27.5	22	27	41.2	58.8
Elly De La Cruz	CIN	28.5	22	28	49.5	50.5
Nico Hoerner	CHC	26.5	21	26	37.0	63.0
Randy Arozarena	SEA	25.5	20	25	36.8	63.2
Xavier Edwards	MIA	24.5	19	24	34.7	65.3
Jakob Marsee	MIA	24.5	19	24	34.5	65.5
Andres Gimenez	TOR	23.5	19	23	40.2	59.8
Travis Bazzana	CLE	21.5	18	21	34.0	66.0
Carson Benge	NYM	21.5	18	21	39.3	60.7
Corbin Carroll	ARI	24.5	18	24	38.9	61.1
Cedric Mullins	TB	22.5	18	22	42.5	57.5
Brice Turang	MIL	23.5	18	23	34.7	65.3
Jarren Duran	BOS	22.5	18	22	46.7	53.3
James Wood	WSH	21.5	17	21	33.5	66.5
Geraldo Perdomo	ARI	21.5	17	21	31.8	68.2
Zach Neto	LAA	21.5	17	21	42.3	57.7
Trea Turner	PHI	21.5	17	21	48.6	51.3
Dansby Swanson	CHC	20.5	17	20	42.9	57.1
Jordan Walker	STL	20.5	17	20	45.6	54.4
Julio Rodriguez	SEA	21.5	16	21	34.9	65.1
Sam Antonacci	CWS	19.5	16	19	31.2	68.8
Ceddanne Rafaela	BOS	20.5	16	20	35.4	64.6
Caleb Durbin	BOS	20.5	16	20	34.7	65.3
Xander Bogaerts	SD	19.5	16	19	42.3	57.7
Brayan Rocchio	CLE	18.5	15	18	41.1	58.9
Luke Keaschall	MIN	17.5	14	17	49.8	50.2
Jackson Chourio	MIL	16.5	13	16	45.9	54.1
JJ Wetherholt	STL	16.5	13	16	29.7	70.3
Garrett Mitchell	MIL	15.5	12	15	35.7	64.3
Miguel Vargas	CWS	14.5	12	14	47.5	52.5
Andy Pages	LAD	14.5	12	14	46.5	53.5
Sal Stewart	CIN	15.5	12	15	28.9	71.1
Daylen Lile	WSH	15.5	12	15	34.8	65.2
Kevin McGonigle	DET	14.5	12	14	49.4	50.6
Brandon Marsh	PHI	13.5	11	13	45.6	54.4
Cam Smith	HOU	12.5	10	12	42.3	57.7
Mike Trout	LAA	12.5	10	12	28.8	71.2
Gunnar Henderson	BAL	13.5	10	13	30.8	69.2
Luis Arraez	PHI	12.5	10	12	30.8	69.2
Ezequiel Duran	TEX	12.5	10	12	44.8	55.2
Daulton Varsho	HOU	12.5	10	12	39.6	60.4
Christian Yelich	MIL	13.5	10	13	30.8	69.2
Leody Taveras	BAL	13.5	10	13	32.5	67.5
George Springer	TOR	12.5	10	12	42.1	57.9
Masyn Winn	STL	12.5	10	12	43.5	56.5
Cody Bellinger	NYY	12.5	10	12	41.2	58.8
Willi Castro	COL	11.5	9	11	42.4	57.6
Jake Bauers	MIL	11.5	9	11	35.5	64.5
Steven Kwan	CLE	11.5	9	11	48.8	51.2
Bryan Reynolds	PIT	11.5	9	11	27.7	72.3
Lawrence Butler	ATH	12.5	9	12	31.2	68.8
Casey Schmitt	SF	11.5	9	11	26.2	73.8
Marcus Semien	NYM	11.5	9	11	32.3	67.7
Chase DeLauter	CLE	11.5	9	11	31.8	68.2
Trent Grisham	NYY	9.5	8	9	44.5	55.5
Shohei Ohtani	LAD	10.5	8	10	48.1	51.9
Kody Clemens	MIN	10.5	8	10	25.1	74.9
Wilyer Abreu	BOS	10.5	8	10	29.6	70.4
Jung Hoo Lee	SF	10.5	8	10	27.8	72.2
Vladimir Guerrero	TOR	8.5	7	8	38.7	61.3
Michael Harris	ATL	9.5	7	9	38.0	62.0
Byron Buxton	MIN	9.5	7	9	45.8	54.2
Nick Kurtz	ATH	8.5	7	8	45.6	54.4
Brooks Lee	MIN	8.5	7	8	42.3	57.7
Ivan Herrera	STL	8.5	7	8	47.6	52.4
Bryce Harper	PHI	8.5	7	8	46.7	53.3
Austin Riley	ATL	8.5	7	8	37.2	62.8
Kyle Tucker	LAD	10.5	7	10	37.4	62.6
Jac Caglianone	KC	7.5	6	7	38.6	61.4
Freddie Freeman	LAD	7.5	6	7	35.1	64.9
Isaac Collins	KC	8.5	6	8	28.7	71.3
JJ Bleday	CIN	7.5	6	7	32.9	67.2
Brandon Nimmo	TEX	7.5	6	7	43.4	56.6
Mauricio Dubon	ATL	7.5	6	7	39.9	60.1
Brett Baty	NYM	6.5	5	6	31.7	68.3
Hunter Goodman	COL	6.5	5	6	24.5	75.5
Willy Adames	SF	7.5	5	7	24.5	75.5
Pete Alonso	BAL	5.5	5	5	49.5	50.5
Ezequiel Tovar	COL	6.5	5	6	36.5	63.5
Gabriel Moreno	ARI	6.5	5	6	23.3	76.7
Kyle Karros	COL	6.5	5	6	30.3	69.7
Nick Gonzales	PIT	6.5	5	6	28.6	71.4
Ernie Clement	TOR	6.5	5	6	34.5	65.5
Taylor Ward	SEA	5.5	4	5	25.2	74.8
Luis Garcia	NYY	5.5	4	5	39.3	60.7
Jose Altuve	HOU	5.5	4	5	43.7	56.3
Matt Olson	ATL	4.5	4	4	44.4	55.6
Ketel Marte	ARI	5.5	4	5	21.9	78.1
Gavin Sheets	SD	4.5	4	4	41.6	58.4
Ian Happ	CHC	5.5	4	5	34.4	65.6
Nolan Arenado	ARI	5.5	4	5	17.8	82.2
Alec Burleson	STL	4.5	3	4	16.1	83.9
Liam Hicks	TB	3.5	3	3	45.7	54.3
Willson Contreras	BOS	4.5	3	4	17.8	82.2
Kyle Schwarber	PHI	4.5	3	4	21.3	78.7
Riley Greene	DET	4.5	3	4	16.1	83.9
Yandy Diaz	TB	3.5	3	3	38.4	61.6
Ildemaro Vargas	ARI	3.5	3	3	49.2	50.8
Drake Baldwin	ATL	3.5	3	3	37.4	62.6
Junior Caminero	TB	4.5	3	4	20.3	79.7
Ben Rice	NYY	4.5	3	4	17.3	82.7
Alex Bregman	CHC	3.5	3	3	46.1	53.9
Cole Young	SEA	4.5	3	4	20.9	79.1
Spencer Steer	CIN	4.5	3	4	40.6	59.4
Jo Adell	CLE	4.5	3	4	28.1	71.9
Max Muncy	LAD	2.5	2	2	40.4	59.6
Jake Burger	TEX	2.5	2	2	39.4	60.6
Tyler Soderstrom	ATH	3.5	2	3	19.7	80.3
Shea Langeliers	ATH	2.5	2	2	44.6	55.4
Alec Bohm	PHI	2.5	2	2	38.9	61.1
Ozzie Albies	ATL	3.5	2	3	27.6	72.4
Cal Raleigh	SEA	3.5	2	3	22.4	77.6
Chase Meidroth	CWS	3.5	2	3	25.8	74.2
Seiya Suzuki	CHC	3.5	2	3	18.6	81.4
Manny Machado	SD	3.5	2	3	16.7	83.3
Michael Busch	CHC	2.5	2	2	39.1	60.9
Brandon Lowe	PIT	2.5	2	2	46.6	53.4
Josh Jung	TEX	1.5	1	1	30.5	69.5
Kyle Stowers	MIA	1.5	1	1	30.3	69.7
Ryan O'Hearn	PIT	1.5	1	1	32.4	67.6
Munetaka Murakami	CWS	2.5	1	2	34.5	65.5
Yordan Alvarez	HOU	1.5	1	1	10.7	89.3
William Contreras	MIL	1.5	1	1	46.2	53.8
Bo Bichette	NYM	1.5	1	1	38.7	61.3
Josh Bell	MIN	1.5	1	1	10.3	89.7
Carter Jensen	KC	1.5	1	1	41.8	58.2
Colson Montgomery	CWS	1.5	1	1	31.2	68.8
Kazuma Okamoto	TOR	2.5	1	2	37.0	63.0
Nolan Schanuel	LAA	1.5	1	1	31.3	68.7
Spencer Torkelson	DET	0.5	0	0	22.8	77.2
TJ Rumfield	COL	1.5	0	1	33.2	66.8
Isaac Paredes	HOU	0.5	0	0	0.0	100.0
Dillon Dingler	DET	0.5	0	0	0.0	100.0
Jonathan Aranda	TB	0.5	0	0	0.0	100.0
Rafael Devers	SF	0.5	0	0	11.1	88.9
Salvador Perez	KC	0.5	0	0	0.0	100.0
Christian Walker	HOU	0.5	0	0	25.0	75.0
Eugenio Suarez	CIN	0.5	0	0	21.5	78.5

Season rbi over/under

Player	Team	Line	Now	Proj final	Over %	Under %
Sal Stewart	CIN	115.5	96	115	46.0	54.0
Jordan Walker	STL	115.5	96	115	47.8	52.2
Alec Burleson	STL	112.5	93	112	44.0	56.0
CJ Abrams	WSH	109.5	91	109	49.2	50.8
Yordan Alvarez	HOU	110.5	90	110	47.5	52.5
Pete Alonso	BAL	105.5	85	105	45.6	54.4
Dillon Dingler	DET	99.5	82	99	46.7	53.3
Junior Caminero	TB	100.5	81	100	49.7	50.3
Shohei Ohtani	LAD	100.5	80	100	47.4	52.6
Luis Garcia	NYY	96.5	80	96	48.0	52.0
Andy Pages	LAD	98.5	80	98	42.6	57.4
Ben Rice	NYY	99.5	80	99	44.0	56.0
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CHC	99.5	80	99	46.5	53.5
Brandon Lowe	PIT	98.5	80	98	46.0	54.0
Willson Contreras	BOS	94.5	78	94	49.0	51.0
Matt Olson	ATL	95.5	77	95	48.1	51.9
Josh Bell	MIN	93.5	77	93	47.4	52.5
Jonathan Aranda	TB	93.5	76	93	42.4	57.6
Brice Turang	MIL	91.5	75	91	43.0	57.0
Jo Adell	CLE	91.5	74	91	47.6	52.4
Kazuma Okamoto	TOR	89.5	74	89	49.7	50.3
Alec Bohm	PHI	89.5	74	89	48.1	51.9
Kyle Schwarber	PHI	93.5	74	93	45.9	54.1
Seiya Suzuki	CHC	90.5	74	90	48.9	51.1
Miguel Vargas	CWS	91.5	74	91	46.5	53.5
Jake Burger	TEX	89.5	73	89	45.4	54.6
James Wood	WSH	90.5	73	90	47.6	52.4
Manny Machado	SD	89.5	72	89	43.2	56.8
Jake Bauers	MIL	87.5	72	87	47.5	52.5
Yandy Diaz	TB	88.5	72	88	45.7	54.3
Colson Montgomery	CWS	88.5	72	88	48.0	52.0
Christian Walker	HOU	88.5	72	88	42.8	57.2
Bryce Harper	PHI	89.5	72	89	42.8	57.2
Liam Hicks	TB	84.5	71	84	47.6	52.4
Rafael Devers	SF	87.5	70	87	45.9	54.1
Michael Harris	ATL	85.5	69	85	43.6	56.4
Nick Kurtz	ATH	86.5	69	86	42.9	57.1
Ryan O'Hearn	PIT	83.5	69	83	42.8	57.2
Hunter Goodman	COL	85.5	69	85	44.8	55.2
Jake McCarthy	COL	81.5	68	81	43.1	56.9
Isaac Paredes	HOU	83.5	68	83	47.8	52.2
Wilyer Abreu	BOS	84.5	68	84	49.1	50.9
Ketel Marte	ARI	83.5	67	83	50.0	50.0
Brooks Lee	MIN	81.5	67	81	46.3	53.7
Daylen Lile	WSH	81.5	66	81	43.6	56.4
Dansby Swanson	CHC	80.5	66	80	48.2	51.8
Max Muncy	LAD	81.5	66	81	45.3	54.7
Bryan Reynolds	PIT	81.5	66	81	46.2	53.8
Alex Bregman	CHC	82.5	66	82	44.2	55.8
Bo Bichette	NYM	80.5	65	80	48.7	51.3
Ozzie Albies	ATL	80.5	65	80	44.7	55.3
Michael Busch	CHC	80.5	64	80	45.4	54.6
Ceddanne Rafaela	BOS	78.5	64	78	44.5	55.5
Nolan Arenado	ARI	77.5	64	77	49.2	50.7
William Contreras	MIL	79.5	64	79	43.0	57.0
Ezequiel Duran	TEX	77.5	64	77	45.0	55.0
Gabriel Moreno	ARI	76.5	63	76	46.5	53.5
Kody Clemens	MIN	77.5	63	77	49.3	50.7
Drake Baldwin	ATL	78.5	63	78	45.8	54.2
Jackson Merrill	SD	78.5	63	78	49.5	50.5
Spencer Torkelson	DET	78.5	63	78	45.2	54.8
Jarren Duran	BOS	77.5	62	77	41.9	58.1
Caleb Durbin	BOS	74.5	62	74	48.6	51.3
Fernando Tatis	SD	78.5	62	78	49.6	50.4
Ildemaro Vargas	ARI	72.5	61	72	46.9	53.1
Zach Neto	LAA	76.5	61	76	46.5	53.5
Mauricio Dubon	ATL	73.5	61	73	48.9	51.1
Freddie Freeman	LAD	76.5	61	76	43.9	56.1
TJ Rumfield	COL	74.5	60	74	43.2	56.8
Austin Riley	ATL	75.5	60	75	47.0	53.0
Jac Caglianone	KC	75.5	60	75	45.5	54.5
Bryson Stott	PHI	72.5	59	72	41.5	58.5
Munetaka Murakami	CWS	71.5	58	71	43.0	57.0
Nico Hoerner	CHC	71.5	58	71	43.3	56.7
Corbin Carroll	ARI	73.5	57	73	43.6	56.4
Chase DeLauter	CLE	70.5	57	70	49.1	50.8
Carter Jensen	KC	71.5	57	71	45.9	54.1
Elly De La Cruz	CIN	71.5	57	71	43.3	56.7
Tyler Soderstrom	ATH	70.5	56	70	49.4	50.6
Salvador Perez	KC	70.5	56	70	49.0	51.0
Cole Young	SEA	70.5	56	70	42.1	57.9
Brandon Marsh	PHI	68.5	55	68	46.0	54.0
Casey Schmitt	SF	68.5	55	68	49.9	50.1
Nick Gonzales	PIT	67.5	55	67	42.9	57.1
Kyle Tucker	LAD	70.5	55	70	43.1	56.9
Otto Lopez	MIA	68.5	55	68	44.9	55.1
Riley Greene	DET	68.5	54	68	47.7	52.3
Randy Arozarena	SEA	68.5	54	68	49.5	50.5
Trent Grisham	NYY	68.5	54	68	45.4	54.6
Garrett Mitchell	MIL	65.5	54	65	49.4	50.6
Luis Arraez	PHI	66.5	54	66	43.5	56.5
Willi Castro	COL	65.5	53	65	41.2	58.8
Kevin McGonigle	DET	67.5	53	67	43.4	56.6
Julio Rodriguez	SEA	68.5	53	68	48.1	51.8
Cody Bellinger	NYY	67.5	53	67	43.1	56.9
Ivan Herrera	STL	67.5	53	67	43.6	56.4
Ian Happ	CHC	66.5	52	66	46.1	53.9
Brayan Rocchio	CLE	64.5	52	64	41.0	59.0
Kyle Stowers	MIA	65.5	52	65	42.0	58.0
Shea Langeliers	ATH	65.5	51	65	47.7	52.3
Gunnar Henderson	BAL	66.5	51	66	42.4	57.6
Eugenio Suarez	CIN	64.5	51	64	43.2	56.8
Masyn Winn	STL	63.5	51	63	41.8	58.2
Carson Benge	NYM	64.5	51	64	44.8	55.2
Jackson Chourio	MIL	63.5	50	63	44.9	55.1
Willy Adames	SF	64.5	50	64	41.9	58.1
Trea Turner	PHI	63.5	49	63	41.2	58.8
Chase Meidroth	CWS	60.5	49	60	47.5	52.5
Andres Gimenez	TOR	59.5	49	59	49.7	50.3
Jazz Chisholm	NYY	63.5	49	63	44.1	55.9
Nolan Schanuel	LAA	60.5	49	60	47.3	52.7
JJ Bleday	CIN	60.5	48	60	47.5	52.5
Cam Smith	HOU	60.5	48	60	46.6	53.3
Brandon Nimmo	TEX	61.5	48	61	46.3	53.7
Bobby Witt	KC	62.5	48	62	45.9	54.1
Xavier Edwards	MIA	58.5	47	58	41.7	58.3
Cal Raleigh	SEA	62.5	47	62	43.5	56.5
Gavin Sheets	SD	57.5	46	57	42.8	57.2
JJ Wetherholt	STL	59.5	46	59	43.7	56.3
Jung Hoo Lee	SF	57.5	46	57	45.5	54.5
Xander Bogaerts	SD	58.5	46	58	41.8	58.2
Josh Naylor	SEA	59.5	46	59	41.3	58.7
Byron Buxton	MIN	59.5	46	59	46.5	53.5
Vladimir Guerrero	TOR	59.5	46	59	41.3	58.7
Mike Trout	LAA	58.5	45	58	43.9	56.1
Kyle Karros	COL	54.5	44	54	42.3	57.7
Leody Taveras	BAL	54.5	44	54	43.0	57.0
Christian Yelich	MIL	55.5	44	55	42.8	57.2
Geraldo Perdomo	ARI	56.5	44	56	41.0	59.0
Ernie Clement	TOR	53.5	43	53	48.4	51.6
Marcus Semien	NYM	53.5	42	53	46.9	53.1
Brett Baty	NYM	51.5	40	51	44.2	55.8
Spencer Steer	CIN	50.5	40	50	47.6	52.4
George Springer	TOR	51.5	40	51	48.8	51.2
Cedric Mullins	TB	50.5	39	50	43.8	56.2
Jose Ramirez	CLE	51.5	39	51	42.9	57.1
Travis Bazzana	CLE	50.5	39	50	42.0	58.0
Isaac Collins	KC	47.5	38	47	48.0	52.0
Ezequiel Tovar	COL	48.5	38	48	47.0	53.0
Jose Altuve	HOU	48.5	37	48	40.9	59.1
Luke Keaschall	MIN	46.5	36	46	43.5	56.5
Lawrence Butler	ATH	46.5	36	46	44.3	55.7
Sam Antonacci	CWS	46.5	36	46	49.1	50.9
Josh Jung	TEX	45.5	35	45	48.6	51.4
Nasim Nuñez	WSH	42.5	34	42	40.7	59.4
Taylor Ward	SEA	43.5	32	43	49.1	50.9
Jakob Marsee	MIA	38.5	29	38	44.0	56.0
Daulton Varsho	HOU	39.5	29	39	41.7	58.3
Chandler Simpson	TB	34.5	27	34	47.3	52.7
Steven Kwan	CLE	33.5	25	33	49.9	50.1

Season pitcher strikeouts over/under

Player	Team	Line	Now	Proj final	Over %	Under %
Jacob Misiorowski	MIL	262.5	216	262	47.5	52.5
Dylan Cease	TOR	243.5	201	243	49.5	50.5
Gavin Williams	CLE	247.5	201	247	47.5	52.5
Jesús Luzardo	PHI	240.5	194	240	46.9	53.1
Cam Schlittler	NYY	240.5	193	240	47.1	52.9
Cristopher Sánchez	PHI	231.5	187	231	46.8	53.2
Reid Detmers	LAA	215.5	172	215	49.7	50.3
Paul Skenes	PIT	214.5	171	214	49.6	50.4
Chris Sale	ATL	206.5	166	206	47.4	52.6
Cade Cavalli	WSH	196.5	162	196	48.4	51.6
Nolan McLean	NYM	200.5	162	200	49.8	50.2
MacKenzie Gore	TEX	203.5	161	203	46.9	53.1
Braxton Ashcraft	PIT	197.5	159	197	46.8	53.2
Chase Burns	CIN	202.5	159	202	46.7	53.3
Taj Bradley	MIN	196.5	158	196	48.9	51.1
Sean Burke	CWS	197.5	158	197	47.9	52.1
Jacob deGrom	TEX	194.5	157	194	48.2	51.8
Logan Gilbert	SEA	198.5	157	198	46.8	53.2
Parker Messick	CLE	189.5	152	189	48.4	51.6
Aaron Nola	PHI	182.5	146	182	46.4	53.6
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	LAD	185.5	145	185	49.0	51.0
Zack Wheeler	PHI	178.5	144	178	49.8	50.2
Joey Cantillo	CLE	181.5	144	181	49.5	50.5
Kevin Gausman	CHC	180.5	143	180	48.2	51.8
Ryan Weathers	NYY	173.5	140	173	50.0	50.0
Shota Imanaga	CHC	174.5	140	174	46.6	53.4
Drew Rasmussen	TB	171.5	138	171	47.0	53.0
Joe Ryan	MIN	174.5	138	174	50.0	50.0
Nathan Eovaldi	TEX	171.5	137	171	49.2	50.8
Bryan Woo	SEA	172.5	137	172	49.5	50.5
José Soriano	TOR	167.5	136	167	48.2	51.8
Tarik Skubal	LAD	170.5	135	170	49.3	50.7
Payton Tolle	BOS	168.5	134	168	49.4	50.6
Eury Pérez	MIA	166.5	133	166	47.6	52.4
Shane Baz	BAL	167.5	132	167	48.9	51.1
Sandy Alcantara	MIA	165.5	131	165	47.4	52.6
Landen Roupp	SF	164.5	130	164	47.0	53.0
Kyle Bradish	BAL	165.5	129	165	47.6	52.4
Freddy Peralta	TB	166.5	129	166	46.9	53.1
Michael King	SD	164.5	128	164	47.8	52.2
Noah Cameron	KC	160.5	128	160	48.3	51.7
Emerson Hancock	SEA	153.5	125	153	47.3	52.7
Matthew Liberatore	STL	153.5	125	153	49.7	50.3
Ian Seymour	TB	152.5	123	152	46.5	53.5
Sonny Gray	BOS	158.5	123	158	47.5	52.5
Will Warren	NYY	154.5	122	154	49.1	50.9
Max Meyer	MIA	149.5	121	149	46.6	53.4
Michael Wacha	KC	150.5	120	150	45.5	54.5
Dustin May	MIL	147.5	118	147	46.3	53.7
J.T. Ginn	ATH	149.5	118	149	49.9	50.1
Sean Manaea	NYM	147.5	117	147	48.5	51.5
Tanner Bibee	CLE	150.5	117	150	46.4	53.6
George Kirby	SEA	150.5	117	150	45.7	54.3
Robbie Ray	SD	151.5	117	151	47.5	52.5
Roki Sasaki	LAD	141.5	114	141	48.1	51.9
Trevor Rogers	BAL	143.5	114	143	49.0	51.0
Bubba Chandler	PIT	144.5	114	144	47.9	52.0
Bryce Elder	ATL	141.5	113	141	46.0	54.0
Ranger Suarez	BOS	141.5	113	141	47.1	52.9
Logan Webb	SF	145.5	112	145	48.3	51.7
Kyle Leahy	STL	138.5	111	138	47.0	52.9
Framber Valdez	DET	144.5	111	144	47.2	52.8
Davis Martin	CWS	138.5	111	138	47.6	52.4
Seth Lugo	KC	141.5	111	141	45.4	54.6
Eduardo Rodriguez	ARI	142.5	110	142	45.6	54.4
Kumar Rocker	TEX	137.5	109	137	49.0	50.9
Andrew Abbott	CIN	139.5	108	139	47.4	52.5
Tyler Mahle	ATL	133.5	108	133	48.3	51.7
Brady Singer	CIN	138.5	107	138	46.3	53.7
Walker Buehler	SD	130.5	104	130	45.7	54.3
Kyle Freeland	COL	130.5	103	130	48.8	51.2
Luis Castillo	CWS	129.5	102	129	47.7	52.3
Brandon Sproat	MIL	122.5	100	122	47.6	52.3
Justin Wrobleski	LAD	129.5	100	129	47.5	52.5
Grant Holmes	ATL	128.5	100	128	47.0	53.0
Andre Pallante	STL	120.5	97	120	48.8	51.2
Brandon Young	BAL	121.5	96	121	46.3	53.7
Michael McGreevy	STL	118.5	95	118	47.3	52.7
David Peterson	CHC	121.5	95	121	47.6	52.4
Colin Rea	CHC	116.5	92	116	49.0	51.0
Mitch Keller	PIT	114.5	89	114	45.2	54.8
Jeffrey Springs	ATH	113.5	89	113	46.8	53.2
Keider Montero	DET	115.5	89	115	48.9	51.1
Slade Cecconi	CLE	112.5	88	112	46.2	53.8
Merrill Kelly	ARI	111.5	84	111	45.3	54.7
Martín Pérez	ATL	104.5	83	104	44.2	55.8
Nick Martinez	TB	107.5	83	107	47.3	52.7
Erick Fedde	CWS	103.5	82	103	48.3	51.7
Michael Lorenzen	COL	108.5	82	108	45.1	54.9
Carmen Mlodzinski	PIT	104.5	81	104	45.6	54.4
Tyler Phillips	MIA	99.5	79	99	43.9	56.1
Mike Burrows	HOU	98.5	75	98	44.8	55.2
Randy Vásquez	SD	93.5	74	93	49.0	51.0
Adrian Houser	SF	93.5	73	93	44.9	55.1
Zack Littell	ARI	94.5	72	94	45.4	54.6
Bailey Ober	MIN	93.5	71	93	46.0	54.0
Eric Lauer	LAD	91.5	69	91	46.7	53.3
Tomoyuki Sugano	COL	89.5	69	89	46.0	54.0
Zac Gallen	ARI	83.5	61	83	44.1	55.9
Miles Mikolas	WSH	74.5	58	74	49.8	50.2

Season pitcher wins over/under

Player	Team	Line	Now	Proj final	Over %	Under %
Cristopher Sánchez	PHI	19.5	16	19	43.6	56.4
Sonny Gray	BOS	19.5	16	19	38.0	62.0
Chase Burns	CIN	16.5	14	16	43.3	56.7
Braxton Ashcraft	PIT	15.5	13	15	38.3	61.7
Jacob Misiorowski	MIL	15.5	13	15	39.8	60.2
Sandy Alcantara	MIA	15.5	13	15	48.6	51.3
Drew Rasmussen	TB	16.5	13	16	27.8	72.2
Eduardo Rodriguez	ARI	15.5	13	15	44.4	55.6
Yoshinobu Yamamoto	LAD	15.5	12	15	31.1	68.9
Chris Sale	ATL	15.5	12	15	30.5	69.5
Gavin Williams	CLE	14.5	12	14	45.1	54.9
Nick Martinez	TB	14.5	12	14	42.7	57.3
Tomoyuki Sugano	COL	14.5	12	14	40.4	59.6
Andre Pallante	STL	14.5	12	14	36.4	63.6
Justin Wrobleski	LAD	13.5	11	13	32.3	67.7
Cam Schlittler	NYY	13.5	11	13	37.8	62.2
Cade Cavalli	WSH	13.5	11	13	24.5	75.5
Robbie Ray	SD	13.5	11	13	42.3	57.7
Jesús Luzardo	PHI	13.5	11	13	46.4	53.6
Nathan Eovaldi	TEX	12.5	10	12	41.1	58.9
Kyle Leahy	STL	11.5	10	11	43.6	56.4
José Soriano	TOR	12.5	10	12	28.9	71.1
Zack Wheeler	PHI	12.5	10	12	45.9	54.1
Logan Gilbert	SEA	12.5	10	12	39.6	60.4
Joey Cantillo	CLE	11.5	9	11	28.7	71.3
Paul Skenes	PIT	11.5	9	11	40.9	59.1
Max Meyer	MIA	10.5	9	10	46.5	53.5
Bryan Woo	SEA	11.5	9	11	40.3	59.7
Nolan McLean	NYM	11.5	9	11	30.7	69.3
Parker Messick	CLE	11.5	9	11	23.7	76.3
Taj Bradley	MIN	11.5	9	11	32.9	67.1
Keider Montero	DET	10.5	9	10	49.6	50.3
Davis Martin	CWS	11.5	9	11	23.9	76.1
Jacob deGrom	TEX	11.5	9	11	43.0	57.0
Brandon Young	BAL	10.5	9	10	46.4	53.6
Ian Seymour	TB	11.5	9	11	24.6	75.4
Randy Vásquez	SD	11.5	9	11	26.9	73.1
Trevor Rogers	BAL	11.5	9	11	35.8	64.2
Colin Rea	CHC	10.5	8	10	27.4	72.6
Will Warren	NYY	10.5	8	10	27.8	72.2
Payton Tolle	BOS	9.5	8	9	45.8	54.2
J.T. Ginn	ATH	9.5	8	9	40.7	59.3
Grant Holmes	ATL	9.5	8	9	46.4	53.6
Zack Littell	ARI	10.5	8	10	32.8	67.2
Merrill Kelly	ARI	10.5	8	10	36.5	63.5
Michael King	SD	10.5	8	10	29.3	70.7
Eric Lauer	LAD	9.5	8	9	47.4	52.6
Shota Imanaga	CHC	10.5	8	10	34.4	65.6
Framber Valdez	DET	10.5	8	10	43.4	56.6
Logan Webb	SF	10.5	8	10	43.9	56.1
Bryce Elder	ATL	10.5	8	10	25.3	74.7
George Kirby	SEA	10.5	8	10	34.5	65.5
Noah Cameron	KC	10.5	8	10	29.9	70.1
Martín Pérez	ATL	9.5	8	9	42.0	58.0
Sean Burke	CWS	8.5	7	8	40.5	59.5
MacKenzie Gore	TEX	8.5	7	8	49.2	50.8
Tarik Skubal	LAD	9.5	7	9	39.1	61.0
David Peterson	CHC	9.5	7	9	27.6	72.4
Kyle Bradish	BAL	8.5	7	8	47.2	52.8
Bailey Ober	MIN	9.5	7	9	25.8	74.2
Walker Buehler	SD	8.5	7	8	40.3	59.7
Emerson Hancock	SEA	8.5	7	8	36.9	63.1
Dylan Cease	TOR	9.5	7	9	29.1	70.9
Landen Roupp	SF	8.5	7	8	44.0	56.0
Michael Wacha	KC	8.5	6	8	26.0	74.0
Carmen Mlodzinski	PIT	7.5	6	7	41.1	58.9
Erick Fedde	CWS	7.5	6	7	35.8	64.2
Kevin Gausman	CHC	8.5	6	8	31.3	68.7
Dustin May	MIL	7.5	6	7	45.4	54.6
Joe Ryan	MIN	8.5	6	8	28.4	71.6
Eury Pérez	MIA	7.5	6	7	46.4	53.6
Andrew Abbott	CIN	8.5	6	8	24.2	75.8
Mitch Keller	PIT	7.5	6	7	48.2	51.8
Bubba Chandler	PIT	7.5	6	7	39.0	61.0
Roki Sasaki	LAD	6.5	5	6	25.3	74.7
Ranger Suarez	BOS	7.5	5	7	27.0	73.0
Ryan Weathers	NYY	6.5	5	6	27.6	72.4
Freddy Peralta	TB	7.5	5	7	25.8	74.2
Aaron Nola	PHI	6.5	5	6	40.5	59.5
Matthew Liberatore	STL	6.5	5	6	35.8	64.2
Brady Singer	CIN	6.5	5	6	45.0	55.0
Michael McGreevy	STL	6.5	5	6	34.8	65.2
Seth Lugo	KC	6.5	5	6	44.2	55.8
Adrian Houser	SF	5.5	4	5	31.4	68.6
Shane Baz	BAL	5.5	4	5	39.1	60.9
Reid Detmers	LAA	5.5	4	5	18.6	81.4
Mike Burrows	HOU	5.5	4	5	27.4	72.6
Tyler Mahle	ATL	5.5	4	5	40.4	59.6
Kyle Freeland	COL	5.5	4	5	34.1	65.9
Slade Cecconi	CLE	5.5	4	5	33.6	66.4
Kumar Rocker	TEX	5.5	4	5	26.2	73.8
Luis Castillo	CWS	5.5	4	5	46.7	53.3
Sean Manaea	NYM	5.5	4	5	36.2	63.8
Tanner Bibee	CLE	5.5	4	5	45.7	54.3
Tyler Phillips	MIA	3.5	3	3	47.7	52.3
Jeffrey Springs	ATH	4.5	3	4	36.7	63.3
Zac Gallen	ARI	4.5	3	4	45.1	54.9
Miles Mikolas	WSH	4.5	3	4	25.0	75.0
Michael Lorenzen	COL	4.5	3	4	31.4	68.5
Brandon Sproat	MIL	4.5	3	4	19.7	80.3

League leader markets

Probability of leading MLB, from joint rest-of-season simulation.

Who	Team	Market	Our %
Jacob Misiorowski	MIL	K	67.5
Kyle Schwarber	PHI	HR	37.1
Yordan Alvarez	HOU	HR	18.6
Matt Olson	ATL	HR	16.3
Junior Caminero	TB	HR	14.0
Gavin Williams	CLE	K	13.4
Dylan Cease	TOR	K	8.1
Hunter Goodman	COL	HR	5.6
Ben Rice	NYY	HR	5.4
Cam Schlittler	NYY	K	5.2
Jesús Luzardo	PHI	K	4.8
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CHC	HR	1.7
Cristopher Sánchez	PHI	K	1.0
Shohei Ohtani	LAD	HR	0.5
Pete Alonso	BAL	HR	0.4
James Wood	WSH	HR	0.2
Miguel Vargas	CWS	HR	0.1
CJ Abrams	WSH	HR	0.1
Reid Detmers	LAA	K	0.1
Jordan Walker	STL	HR	0.0
Paul Skenes	PIT	K	0.0
Colson Montgomery	CWS	HR	0.0
Sal Stewart	CIN	HR	0.0
Brandon Lowe	PIT	HR	0.0
Willson Contreras	BOS	HR	0.0
Rafael Devers	SF	HR	0.0
Munetaka Murakami	CWS	HR	0.0
Dillon Dingler	DET	HR	0.0
Hogan Harris	ATH	K	0.0
Gordon Graceffo	STL	K	0.0
Antonio Senzatela	MIL	K	0.0
Louis Varland	TOR	K	0.0
Sandy Alcantara	MIA	K	0.0
Tyler Holton	DET	K	0.0
José Suarez	ATH	K	0.0

Award proxies

Probability of finishing as the league WAR leader. A talent proxy, not a voter model.

Who	Team	Market	Our %
Yordan Alvarez	HOU	WAR	100.0
Pete Crow-Armstrong	CHC	WAR	44.6
Shohei Ohtani	LAD	WAR	39.5
James Wood	WSH	WAR	15.7
Matt Olson	ATL	WAR	0.1
Kyle Schwarber	PHI	WAR	0.1
Bryce Harper	PHI	WAR	0.0
CJ Abrams	WSH	WAR	0.0
Pete Alonso	BAL	WAR	0.0
Seiya Suzuki	CHC	WAR	0.0
Juan Soto	NYM	WAR	0.0
Willson Contreras	BOS	WAR	0.0
Junior Caminero	TB	WAR	0.0
Kevin McGonigle	DET	WAR	0.0
Miguel Vargas	CWS	WAR	0.0
Nick Kurtz	ATH	WAR	0.0
Yandy Diaz	TB	WAR	0.0
Randy Arozarena	SEA	WAR	0.0
Ben Rice	NYY	WAR	0.0
Freddie Freeman	LAD	WAR	0.0

Team season props

From the full simulated win distributions. No wired market exists for these; fair values only.

Who	Team	Market	Our %
LAN	LAD	playoffs	96.8
SEA	SEA	playoffs	92.0
NYA	NYY	playoffs	90.1
LAN	LAD	90+ wins	86.4
LAN	LAD	division winner	81.3
CHN	CHC	playoffs	81.3
ATL	ATL	playoffs	80.3
NYN	NYM	playoffs	77.2
SEA	SEA	division winner	73.7
SEA	SEA	90+ wins	70.2
NYA	NYY	90+ wins	66.3
NYA	NYY	division winner	63.0
CHN	CHC	division winner	62.9
PHI	PHI	playoffs	58.6
MIL	MIL	playoffs	58.0
ARI	ARI	playoffs	54.8
TOR	TOR	playoffs	54.0
BAL	BAL	playoffs	52.1
ATL	ATL	90+ wins	51.9
SDN	SD	playoffs	51.0
CHN	CHC	90+ wins	50.6
HOU	HOU	playoffs	49.7
NYN	NYM	90+ wins	46.6
KCA	KC	playoffs	46.6
ARI	ARI	wild card	45.4
ATL	ATL	division winner	43.2
SDN	SD	wild card	42.9
DET	DET	playoffs	40.5
NYN	NYM	wild card	40.2
TOR	TOR	wild card	40.2
PHI	PHI	wild card	39.0
BAL	BAL	wild card	38.9
ATL	ATL	wild card	37.1
NYN	NYM	division winner	37.0
HOU	HOU	wild card	36.7
KCA	KC	division winner	36.3
BOS	BOS	playoffs	35.5
TEX	TEX	playoffs	33.9
ATH	ATH	playoffs	32.2
CLE	CLE	playoffs	30.3
DET	DET	division winner	29.9
MIL	MIL	division winner	29.9
LAN	LAD	100+ wins	29.8
BOS	BOS	wild card	28.8
MIL	MIL	wild card	28.1
PHI	PHI	90+ wins	27.7
NYA	NYY	wild card	27.1
TEX	TEX	wild card	27.0
ATH	ATH	wild card	26.0
MIL	MIL	90+ wins	25.8
ARI	ARI	90+ wins	24.6
TBA	TB	playoffs	23.6
SDN	SD	90+ wins	21.8
CLE	CLE	division winner	21.5
TOR	TOR	90+ wins	21.3
TBA	TB	wild card	20.2
BAL	BAL	90+ wins	19.7
PHI	PHI	division winner	19.6
CHN	CHC	wild card	18.4
SEA	SEA	wild card	18.3
HOU	HOU	90+ wins	17.9
MIN	MIN	playoffs	16.4
LAN	LAD	wild card	15.5
SFN	SF	playoffs	14.1
SEA	SEA	100+ wins	14.1
TOR	TOR	division winner	13.8
BAL	BAL	division winner	13.2
HOU	HOU	division winner	13.0
SFN	SF	wild card	13.0
KCA	KC	90+ wins	12.8
PIT	PIT	playoffs	12.7
NYA	NYY	100+ wins	12.0
MIN	MIN	division winner	10.9
BOS	BOS	90+ wins	10.8
DET	DET	wild card	10.6
KCA	KC	wild card	10.3
TEX	TEX	90+ wins	9.5
DET	DET	90+ wins	9.5
ARI	ARI	division winner	9.4
ATH	ATH	90+ wins	9.0
PIT	PIT	wild card	8.9
CLE	CLE	wild card	8.8
CIN	CIN	playoffs	8.7
SDN	SD	division winner	8.1
TEX	TEX	division winner	6.9
BOS	BOS	division winner	6.7
ATL	ATL	100+ wins	6.3
ATH	ATH	division winner	6.2
CIN	CIN	wild card	6.1
CLE	CLE	90+ wins	6.1
CHN	CHC	100+ wins	5.9
MIN	MIN	wild card	5.5
TBA	TB	90+ wins	5.2
NYN	NYM	100+ wins	4.5
PIT	PIT	division winner	3.8
TBA	TB	division winner	3.4
SFN	SF	90+ wins	3.0
SLN	STL	playoffs	2.9
CIN	CIN	division winner	2.6
MIN	MIN	90+ wins	2.3
PIT	PIT	90+ wins	2.3
CHA	CWS	playoffs	2.2
SLN	STL	wild card	2.1
WAS	WSH	playoffs	1.7
WAS	WSH	wild card	1.6
MIA	MIA	playoffs	1.5
MIA	MIA	wild card	1.4
CHA	CWS	division winner	1.4
PHI	PHI	100+ wins	1.4
CIN	CIN	90+ wins	1.3
MIL	MIL	100+ wins	1.1
SFN	SF	division winner	1.1
ARI	ARI	100+ wins	0.9
LAA	LAA	playoffs	0.9
SDN	SD	100+ wins	0.9
CHA	CWS	wild card	0.8
LAA	LAA	wild card	0.8
SLN	STL	division winner	0.8
TOR	TOR	100+ wins	0.8
HOU	HOU	100+ wins	0.7
BAL	BAL	100+ wins	0.7
KCA	KC	100+ wins	0.4
COL	COL	playoffs	0.3
COL	COL	wild card	0.3
DET	DET	100+ wins	0.2
ATH	ATH	100+ wins	0.2
BOS	BOS	100+ wins	0.2
TEX	TEX	100+ wins	0.2
SLN	STL	90+ wins	0.2
WAS	WSH	90+ wins	0.1
MIA	MIA	division winner	0.1
LAA	LAA	division winner	0.1
MIA	MIA	90+ wins	0.1
WAS	WSH	division winner	0.1
CHA	CWS	90+ wins	0.1
MIN	MIN	100+ wins	0.1
TBA	TB	100+ wins	0.1
CLE	CLE	100+ wins	0.0
SFN	SF	100+ wins	0.0
LAA	LAA	90+ wins	0.0
COL	COL	90+ wins	0.0
CIN	CIN	100+ wins	0.0
CHA	CWS	100+ wins	0.0
PIT	PIT	100+ wins	0.0
LAA	LAA	100+ wins	0.0
WAS	WSH	100+ wins	0.0
COL	COL	100+ wins	0.0
MIA	MIA	100+ wins	0.0
COL	COL	division winner	0.0
SLN	STL	100+ wins	0.0

21 and over. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Everything here is analysis and entertainment, not individualized betting advice. Project Hardball takes no bets, sells no picks, and has no sportsbook relationship.