Mitch Keller

Bats R Throws R6'2" 220 lbBorn 1996 Cedar Rapids, USADebut 2019Team PIT1x All-StarDraft 2014 R2 #64 Pittsburgh Pirates, Xavier (IA) HSContract 5 yr/$77M (24-28) 2026: $16,911,500

Projections

Season	BF	K%	BB%	HR%	1B%	XBH%	PITCH+
2026	580	20.8	7.1	3.11	21.4	6.84	98.7
2027							99.0
2028							98.7

Projected rates are per plate appearance or batter faced; counting stats scale with projected playing time. Statcast measurements inform these projections as inputs and are reported as measurements, not projected.

Most similar through age 29

His ten closest age-29 comparables averaged 94 PITCH+ the next season; 10 of 10 played. Averages cover only the players who got a next season, which is why the played count matters.

#	Player	Through	PITCH+ then	Next season	Next PA / BF
1	Matt Boyd	2020	95.5	100.8	337
2	Mike Leake	2017	98.9	94.9	784
3	Nick Pivetta	2022	95.8	108.6	587
4	Kyle Lohse	2008	97.8	97.6	512
5	Jason Vargas	2012	98.8	94.0	644
6	Andrew Heaney	2020	99.0	92.2	558
7	Kyle Kendrick	2014	95.4	80.5	629
8	Gil Meche	2008	101.7	93.3	581
9	Collin McHugh	2016	98.8	100.3	271
10	Edwin Jackson	2013	96.9	77.6	633

Batting

Year	Team	G	PA	R	H	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HIT+
2025	PIT	32	0	0	0	0	0
2024	PIT	31	0	0	0	0	0
2023	PIT	32	0	0	0	0	0
2022	PIT	31	0	0	0	0	0
2021	PIT	24	32	2	3	2	14	0.107	0.167	0.107	0.274	-24.7
2020	PIT	5	0	0	0	0	0
2019	PIT	11	11	0	0	0	3	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000	-110.6
Career		166	43	2	3	2	17	0.079	0.125	0.079	0.204	-46.7

Pitching

Year	Team	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	HR	BB	SO	PITCH+
2027 proj									580				99.0
2026*									503				94.9	101.3	96.2
2025	PIT	6	15	4.19	32	32	0	176.3	749	21	51	150	100.5	99.5	100.0
2024	PIT	11	12	4.25	31	31	0	178.0	773	23	50	166	95.4	101.8	97.2
2023	PIT	13	9	4.21	32	32	0	194.3	825	25	55	210	102.5	102.0	104.6
2022	PIT	5	12	3.91	31	29	0	159.0	687	14	60	138	96.0	101.3	97.3
2021	PIT	5	11	6.17	23	23	0	100.7	470	10	49	92	80.6	97.8	78.3
2020	PIT	1	1	2.91	5	5	0	21.7	87	4	18	16	106.0	104.3	110.3
2019	PIT	1	5	7.12	11	11	0	48.0	227	6	16	65	78.1	101.3	79.5
Career		42	65	4.51	165	163	0	878.0	3818	103	299	837	95.5		96.3

Statcast

Year	PA	EV	LA	Barrel%	HardHit%	Whiff%	Chase%	xBA	xSLG	xwOBA	Sprint
2021	32	86.8	-34.1	0.0	31.3	30.4	28.8	0.151	0.171	0.182	25.1
2019	11	87.9	-13.1	0.0	0.0	21.4	22.2	0.098	0.107	0.092	20.3

Fielding

Year	Team	Pos	G	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	Fld%	Runs saved
2025	PIT	P	32	176	17	8	0	0	1.000	-0.5
2024	PIT	P	31	178	10	21	0	3	1.000	+1.7
2023	PIT	P	32	194	18	21	1	4	0.975	+2.0
2022	PIT	P	31	159	10	15	1	2	0.962	+1.1
2021	PIT	P	23	101	4	10	0	1	1.000	-1.3
2020	PIT	P	5	22	3	4	0	0	1.000	+0.5
2019	PIT	P	11	48	3	1	1	0	0.800	+0.4

Runs saved covers the Statcast era; for catchers it includes framing.

Minor leagues

Year	Level	Team	Side	PA / BF	Line	AVG / ERA
2021	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	Pit	128	28.0 IP, 30% K	3.21
2019	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	Pit	436	103.2 IP, 28% K	3.58
2018	AAA	Indianapolis Indians	Pit	236	52.1 IP, 24% K	4.84
2018	AA	Altoona Curve	Pit	342	86.0 IP, 22% K	2.72
2017	AA	Altoona Curve	Pit	142	34.2 IP, 32% K	3.16
2017	A+	Bradenton Marauders	Pit	306	77.1 IP, 21% K	3.15
2016	A+	Bradenton Marauders	Pit	23	6.0 IP, 30% K	0.00
2016	A	West Virginia Power	Pit	488	124.1 IP, 27% K	2.47
2015	Rk	Bristol Pirates	Pit	101	19.2 IP, 25% K	5.62
2014	Rk	GCL Pirates	Pit	113	27.1 IP, 26% K	1.99

Splits

Year	vs LHP	vs RHP	Home	Away
2021	0.225	0.104	0.156	0.114
2019	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000

wOBA by split, from pitch level data, 2015 on. For pitchers the split is the batter side faced.