Paul Skenes

Bats R Throws R6'6" 260 lbBorn 2002 Fullerton, USADebut 2024Team PIT2x All-StarDraft 2023 R1 #1 Pittsburgh Pirates, LSUContract 1 y/$1.085M (26) 2026: $1,085,000

Awards: All-MLB First Team x2, Jackie Robinson NL Rookie of the Year, NL Cy Young

Projections

SeasonBFK%BB%HR%1B%XBH%PITCH+
202656129.96.32.5520.46.64117.0
2027113.5
2028112.8

Projected rates are per plate appearance or batter faced; counting stats scale with projected playing time. Statcast measurements inform these projections as inputs and are reported as measurements, not projected.

Most similar through age 23

His ten closest age-23 comparables averaged 110 PITCH+ the next season; 9 of 10 played. Averages cover only the players who got a next season, which is why the played count matters.

#PlayerThroughPITCH+ thenNext seasonNext PA / BF
1Jack Flaherty2019113.1107.5170
2Jose Fernandez2016116.9did not play
3Stephen Strasburg2012115.3115.9731
4Clayton Kershaw2011113.9117.6901
5Spencer Strider2022122.4112.1763
6Chris Paddack2019114.993.3245
7Walker Buehler2018118.4115.9737
8Dontrelle Willis2005112.9101.3975
9Noah Syndergaard2016111.1121.0124
10Tommy Hanson2010109.8105.2540

Pitching

YearTeamWLERAGGSSVIPBFHRBBSOPITCH+
2027 proj561113.5
2026*572107.398.6106.0
2025PIT10101.9732320187.77331142216121.497.9119.2
2024PIT1131.9623230133.05141032170121.2100.2121.3
Career21131.9655550320.712472174386121.3120.1

Fielding

YearTeamPosGInnPOAEDPFld%Runs saved
2025PITP321881011200.913-1.9
2024PITP23133717210.923+0.1

Runs saved covers the Statcast era; for catchers it includes framing.

Minor leagues

YearLevelTeamSidePA / BFLineAVG / ERAOPS
2024AAAIndianapolis IndiansPit10527.1 IP, 43% K1.00

Splits

Yearvs LHPvs RHPHomeAway
20260.2910.3200.2790.332
20250.2730.2390.2530.262
20240.2550.2570.2900.214

wOBA by split, from pitch level data, 2015 on. For pitchers the split is the batter side faced.