Bryce Elder

Bats R Throws R6'2" 220 lbBorn 1999 Decatur, USADebut 2022Team ATLDraft 2020 R5 #156 Atlanta Braves, TexasContract 1 y/$810,000 (26) 2026: $810,000

Projections

Season	BF	K%	BB%	HR%	1B%	XBH%	PITCH+
2026	470	18.8	7.8	3.13	21.3	6.59	97.3
2027							98.0
2028							98.9

Projected rates are per plate appearance or batter faced; counting stats scale with projected playing time. Statcast measurements inform these projections as inputs and are reported as measurements, not projected.

Most similar through age 26

His ten closest age-26 comparables averaged 98 PITCH+ the next season; 10 of 10 played. Averages cover only the players who got a next season, which is why the played count matters.

#	Player	Through	PITCH+ then	Next season	Next PA / BF
1	Paul Maholm	2008	98.7	97.5	836
2	John Lannan	2011	97.9	98.9	144
3	Jakob Junis	2019	95.9	75.8	114
4	Brady Singer	2023	98.7	101.3	762
5	Luke Weaver	2020	96.2	99.9	275
6	Dylan Bundy	2019	96.3	118.2	267
7	Jeff Francis	2007	99.5	93.2	636
8	Bud Norris	2011	96.7	95.7	733
9	Vince Velasquez	2018	96.2	92.2	516
10	Mike Leake	2014	97.1	105.7	778

Pitching

Year	Team	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	HR	BB	SO	PITCH+
2027 proj									470				98.0
2026*									578				103.6	98.7	102.2
2025	ATL	8	11	5.30	28	28	0	156.3	679	24	51	131	93.6	100.9	94.5
2024	ATL	2	5	6.52	10	10	0	49.7	226	8	17	46	80.5	97.2	77.7
2023	ATL	12	4	3.81	31	31	0	174.7	732	19	63	128	103.0	102.3	105.3
2022	ATL	2	4	3.17	10	9	0	54.0	227	4	23	47	106.2	99.6	105.8
Career		24	24	4.58	79	78	0	434.7	1864	55	154	352	97.2		98.1

Fielding

Year	Team	Pos	G	Inn	PO	A	DP	Fld%	Runs saved
2025	ATL	P	28	156	15	19	2	1.000	+0.7
2024	ATL	P	10	50	6	3	2	1.000	-0.8
2023	ATL	P	31	175	10	15	4	1.000	+2.0
2022	ATL	P	10	54	3	4	1	1.000	-0.1

Runs saved covers the Statcast era; for catchers it includes framing.

Minor leagues

Year	Level	Team	Side	PA / BF	Line	AVG / ERA
2025	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	Pit	59	12.1 IP, 27% K	8.93
2024	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	Pit	429	101.1 IP, 24% K	3.74
2023	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	Pit	23	6.0 IP, 17% K	6.00
2022	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	Pit	436	105.0 IP, 22% K	4.46
2021	AAA	Gwinnett Stripers	Pit	147	36.2 IP, 27% K	2.24
2021	AA	Mississippi Braves	Pit	218	56.0 IP, 28% K	3.21
2021	A+	Rome Braves	Pit	194	45.0 IP, 28% K	2.60

Splits

Year	vs LHP	vs RHP	Home	Away
2026	0.288	0.363	0.300	0.349
2025	0.309	0.374	0.383	0.296
2024	0.403	0.338	0.435	0.309
2023	0.319	0.324	0.321	0.322
2022	0.319	0.286	0.298	0.303

wOBA by split, from pitch level data, 2015 on. For pitchers the split is the batter side faced.

Postseason pitching

Year	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2023	0	1	24.55	1	1	0	2.2	5	2	1	4	2.73
Career	0	1	24.55	1	1	0	2.2	5	2	1	4	2.73