Pablo Lopez

Bats L Throws R6'4" 225 lbBorn 1996 Cabimas, VenezuelaDebut 2018Team MIN1x All-StarContract 4 yr/$73.5M (24-27) 2026: $21,750,000

Projections

Season	BF	K%	BB%	HR%	1B%	XBH%	PITCH+
2026	440	24.0	5.9	3.09	21.1	6.66	103.8
2027							103.7
2028							103.1

Projected rates are per plate appearance or batter faced; counting stats scale with projected playing time. Statcast measurements inform these projections as inputs and are reported as measurements, not projected.

Most similar through age 29

His ten closest age-29 comparables averaged 102 PITCH+ the next season; 8 of 10 played. Averages cover only the players who got a next season, which is why the played count matters.

#	Player	Through	PITCH+ then	Next season	Next PA / BF
1	Yu Darvish	2016	108.8	109.1	766
2	A. J. Burnett	2006	108.1	110.0	691
3	Julio Teheran	2020	102.8	85.1	20
4	Erik Bedard	2008	109.8	113.0	348
5	John Lackey	2008	107.1	106.1	748
6	Matt Cain	2014	109.3	77.1	271
7	Eduardo Rodriguez	2022	102.9	111.3	621
8	Matt Garza	2013	103.6	107.8	680
9	Scott Baker	2011	101.2	did not play
10	Mike Clevinger	2020	109.8	did not play

Batting

Year	Team	G	PA	R	H	2B	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HIT+
2025	MIN	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024	MIN	32	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2023	MIN	32	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2022	MIA	32	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021	MIA	21	35	2	2	2	0	0	17	0.061	0.061	0.121	0.182	-65.1
2020	MIA	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2019	MIA	22	36	1	6	2	3	0	19	0.171	0.171	0.229	0.400	1.5
2018	MIA	12	18	1	3	0	0	1	8	0.188	0.235	0.188	0.423	23.7
Career		176	89	4	11	4	3	1	44	0.131	0.141	0.179	0.320	-20.2

Pitching

Year	Team	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	HR	BB	SO	PITCH+
2027 proj									440				103.7
2026*									0
2025	MIN	5	4	2.74	14	14	0	75.7	312	6	20	73	112.5	99.2	111.7
2024	MIN	15	10	4.08	32	32	0	185.3	772	26	41	198	103.3	99.3	102.6
2023	MIN	11	8	3.66	32	32	0	194.0	801	24	48	234	108.4	99.7	108.1
2022	MIA	10	10	3.75	32	32	0	180.0	736	21	53	174	102.2	100.4	102.6
2021	MIA	5	5	3.07	20	20	0	102.7	418	11	26	115	105.4	100.1	105.4
2020	MIA	6	4	3.61	11	11	0	57.3	240	4	18	59	112.3	100.1	112.4
2019	MIA	5	8	5.09	21	21	0	111.3	469	15	27	95	101.0	99.4	100.3
2018	MIA	2	4	4.14	10	10	0	58.7	247	8	18	46	94.9	101.7	96.6
Career		59	53	3.81	172	172	0	965.0	3995	115	251	994	104.8		104.7

Statcast

Year	PA	EV	LA	Barrel%	HardHit%	Whiff%	Chase%	xBA	xSLG	xwOBA	Sprint
2021	35	79.6	-6.4	5.6	22.2	44.4	37.5	0.128	0.173	0.136	24.3
2019	36	88.8	11.2	8.3	23.5	51.8	56.3	0.150	0.259	0.173	24.7
2018	18	89.1	-6.9	0.0	33.3	39.4	30.0	0.139	0.176	0.172	24.0

Fielding

Year	Team	Pos	G	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	Fld%	Runs saved
2025	MIN	P	14	76	5	6	3	0	0.786	-0.3
2024	MIN	P	32	185	11	13	1	1	0.960	-0.6
2023	MIN	P	32	194	7	23	1	0	0.968	-0.2
2022	MIA	P	32	180	13	12	2	2	0.926	+0.3
2021	MIA	P	20	103	4	9	0	1	1.000	+0.0
2020	MIA	P	11	57	11	4	0	0	1.000	+0.0
2019	MIA	P	21	111	9	12	0	1	1.000	-0.4
2018	MIA	P	10	59	4	7	1	2	0.917	+0.5

Runs saved covers the Statcast era; for catchers it includes framing.

Minor leagues

Year	Level	Team	Side	PA / BF	Line	AVG / ERA
2025	AAA	St. Paul Saints	Pit	65	16.0 IP, 28% K	2.81
2019	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	Pit	39	9.1 IP, 26% K	1.98
2019	AA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	Pit	33	5.0 IP, 18% K	21.60
2018	AAA	New Orleans Baby Cakes	Pit	80	18.2 IP, 19% K	3.46
2018	AA	Jacksonville Jumbo Shrimp	Pit	173	43.2 IP, 29% K	0.62
2017	A+	Modesto Nuts	Pit	424	100.0 IP, 21% K	5.04
2017	A+	Jupiter Hammerheads	Pit	181	45.1 IP, 18% K	2.20
2017	A+	nan	Pit	605	145.1 IP, 20% K	4.16
2016	A	Clinton LumberKings	Pit	324	84.1 IP, 17% K	2.14
2015	Rk	AZL Mariners	Pit	162	37.1 IP, 16% K	3.15
2013	Rk	VSL Mariners	Pit	261	66.2 IP, 15% K	2.58

Splits

Year	vs LHP	vs RHP	Home	Away
2021	0.089	0.113	0.066	0.154
2019	0.180	0.187	0.161	0.218
2018		0.200	0.340	0.000

wOBA by split, from pitch level data, 2015 on. For pitchers the split is the batter side faced.

Postseason batting

Year	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2020	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
Career	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Postseason pitching

Year	W	L	ERA	G	GS	IP	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2023	2	0	0.74	2	2	12.2	11	0	3	10	1.15
2020	0	1	3.60	1	1	5.0	3	2	0	7	0.60
Career	2	1	1.57	3	3	17.2	14	2	3	17	0.99