Nathaniel Lowe

Bats L Throws R6'4" 220 lbBorn 1995 Norfolk, USADebut 2019Team CLEDraft 2016 R13 #390 Tampa Bay Rays, Mississippi StateContract 1 y/$1.75M (26) 2026: $514,706

Awards: AL Silver Slugger, Rawlings AL Gold Glove

Projections

2027 NEXT+ 101.0FIELD+ 97.4 at 1BTotal 1.06 WAR

Season	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	wOBA	K%	BB%	HIT+	WAR
2026	428	375	93	16	1	12	48	103	1	0.248	0.334	0.389	0.723	0.141	0.320	24.1	11.1	103.5	1.52
2027	327	287	71	13	1	10	36	79	1	0.247	0.332	0.400	0.731	0.152	0.322	24.2	10.9	105.5	1.24

Projected rates are per plate appearance or batter faced; counting stats scale with projected playing time. Statcast measurements inform these projections as inputs and are reported as measurements, not projected.

Most similar through age 29

His ten closest age-29 comparables averaged 111 HIT+ the next season; 10 of 10 played. Averages cover only the players who got a next season, which is why the played count matters.

#	Player	Through	HIT+ then	Next season	Next PA / BF
1	Sean Casey	2004	114.5	111.7	587
2	Ferris Fain	1950	120.5	150.0	511
3	Harold Baines	1988	112.2	143.4	583
4	Wally Joyner	1991	121.2	101.8	633
5	Hal Morris	1994	121.6	101.8	391
6	Wally Pipp	1922	108.6	93.0	634
7	Aubrey Huff	2006	113.0	102.7	603
8	Mark Grace	1993	123.1	107.8	454
9	James Loney	2013	104.2	107.2	651
10	Leon Durham	1987	124.4	91.9	138

Batting

Year	Team	G	PA	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HIT+
2027 proj			327		71	13	1	10		1	36	79	0.247	0.332	0.400	0.731	105.5
2026*	CLE	95	319	29	76	20	0	14		0	30	78	0.265	0.332	0.481	0.813	126.4
2025	BOS	153	609	64	123	23	3	18	84	1	62	159	0.228	0.307	0.381	0.689	94.7
2024	TEX	140	565	62	129	16	1	16	69	2	71	125	0.265	0.361	0.401	0.762	126.8
2023	TEX	161	724	89	163	38	3	17	82	1	93	165	0.262	0.360	0.414	0.775	113.2
2022	TEX	157	645	74	179	26	3	27	76	2	48	147	0.302	0.358	0.492	0.851	143.5
2021	TEX	157	642	75	147	24	3	18	72	8	80	162	0.264	0.357	0.415	0.771	115.5
2020	TB	21	76	10	15	2	0	4	11	1	9	28	0.224	0.316	0.433	0.749	102.0
2019	TB	50	169	24	40	8	0	7	19	0	13	50	0.263	0.325	0.454	0.779	106.8
Career		839	3430	398	796	137	13	107	413	15	376	836	0.264	0.347	0.424	0.771	117.7

Statcast

Year	PA	EV	LA	Barrel%	HardHit%	Whiff%	Chase%	xBA	xSLG	xwOBA	Sprint
2026	317	89.6	14.5	9.3	43.1	21.5	27.8	0.269	0.452	0.343	25.6
2025	609	89.0	10.9	7.0	41.5	24.7	24.0	0.229	0.373	0.303	26.2
2024	565	88.9	7.7	5.8	40.0	20.6	23.4	0.250	0.386	0.332	26.4
2023	724	89.8	7.2	6.5	41.6	20.6	20.8	0.259	0.408	0.339	27.3
2022	645	90.2	8.2	9.9	44.8	24.9	29.3	0.273	0.470	0.346	27.1
2021	642	90.8	5.0	9.5	45.5	23.5	22.9	0.231	0.403	0.323	27.3
2020	76	88.9	7.1	15.4	43.6	29.4	20.4	0.230	0.377	0.300	26.9
2019	169	91.3	13.0	11.2	45.2	27.4	25.5	0.257	0.452	0.328	27.1

Fielding

Year	Team	Pos	G	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	Fld%	Runs saved
2025	BOS	1B	146	1235	1008	73	7	98	0.994	-10.8
2024	TEX	1B	138	1194	983	92	5	73	0.995	+4.4
2023	TEX	1B	161	1409	1221	106	3	128	0.998	+2.4
2022	TEX	1B	153	1327	1252	70	9	125	0.993	-0.6
2021	TEX	1B	148	1269	1164	54	11	119	0.991	+0.4
2021	TEX	3B	1	1	0	1	0	0	1.000	-0.2
2020	TB	1B	15	123	110	6	0	8	1.000	+1.1
2020	TB	3B	2	16	0	4	0	1	1.000	-0.9
2019	TB	1B	21	170	158	5	1	11	0.994	-0.6
2019	TB	3B	4	9	1	0	0	0	1.000	-0.9

Runs saved covers the Statcast era; for catchers it includes framing.

Minor leagues

Year	Level	Team	Side	PA / BF	Line	AVG / ERA	OPS
2019	AAA	Durham Bulls	Bat	406	16 HR, 1 SB	0.289	0.929
2018	AAA	Durham Bulls	Bat	110	4 HR, 0 SB	0.260	0.787
2018	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	Bat	225	13 HR, 1 SB	0.340	1.050
2018	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	Bat	220	10 HR, 0 SB	0.356	1.020
2017	A+	Charlotte Stone Crabs	Bat	203	2 HR, 1 SB	0.249	0.708
2017	A	Bowling Green Hot Rods	Bat	269	5 HR, 0 SB	0.293	0.802

Splits

Year	vs LHP	vs RHP	Home	Away
2026	0.121	0.393	0.418	0.319
2025	0.240	0.337	0.305	0.313
2024	0.358	0.342	0.338	0.355
2023	0.302	0.372	0.358	0.344
2022	0.411	0.359	0.348	0.403
2021	0.351	0.351	0.336	0.366
2020	0.188	0.356	0.404	0.231
2019	0.445	0.326	0.303	0.377

wOBA by split, from pitch level data, 2015 on. For pitchers the split is the batter side faced.

Postseason batting

Year	G	AB	R	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2025	3	7	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	0.143	0.143	0.143	0.286
2023	17	66	10	14	2	3	6	6	22	0.212	0.278	0.379	0.657
2020	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	0.000	0.000	0.000	0.000
Career	21	76	10	15	2	3	6	6	25	0.197	0.256	0.342	0.598