Kyle Nelson

Bats L Throws L6'1" 175 lbBorn 1996 San Francisco, USADebut 2020Team ARIDraft 2017 R15 #462 Cleveland Guardians, UC Santa Barbara

Projections

Season	BF	K%	BB%	HR%	1B%	XBH%	PITCH+
2026	95	21.3	9.2	3.44	20.2	6.27	102.2
2027							104.1
2028							102.7

Projected rates are per plate appearance or batter faced; counting stats scale with projected playing time. Statcast measurements inform these projections as inputs and are reported as measurements, not projected.

Most similar through age 28

His ten closest age-28 comparables averaged 100 PITCH+ the next season; 3 of 10 played. Averages cover only the players who got a next season, which is why the played count matters.

#	Player	Through	PITCH+ then	Next season	Next PA / BF
1	Matt Reynolds	2013	100.1	did not play
2	Travis Lakins	2022	96.4	did not play
3	Keynan Middleton	2022	95.6	107.0	212
4	Michael Kohn	2014	97.7	126.1	19
5	Lucas Luetge	2015	95.2	did not play
6	Josh James	2021	101.5	did not play
7	Yoan Lopez	2021	97.0	67.2	51
8	Donnie Hart	2019	100.7	did not play
9	Seth Maness	2017	98.6	did not play
10	Esmerling Vasquez	2012	97.6	did not play

Pitching

Year	Team	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	HR	BB	SO	PITCH+
2027 proj									95				104.1
2026*									0
2025	ARI	0	0	9.00	3	0	1	2.0	11	1	4	2	61.8	100.0	61.8
2024	ARI	0	0	4.22	11	0	0	10.7	42	2	4	8	105.2	99.2	104.4
2023	ARI	7	4	4.18	68	2	0	56.0	239	12	14	67	94.4	101.3	95.7
2022	ARI	2	1	2.19	43	1	0	37.0	151	1	14	30	113.3	103.7	117.0
2021	CLE	0	0	9.31	10	0	0	9.7	49	0	8	8	93.5	98.1	91.5
2020	CLE	0	0	54.00	1	0	0	0.7	6	1	1	0	-27.3	93.8	-33.4
Career		9	5	4.34	136	3	1	116.0	498	17	45	115	98.8		100.2

Fielding

Year	Team	Pos	G	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	Fld%	Runs saved
2025	ARI	P	3	2	0	0	0	0
2024	ARI	P	11	11	0	0	0	0		-0.0
2023	ARI	P	68	56	2	7	0	0	1.000	+0.4
2022	ARI	P	43	37	3	4	1	1	0.875	+0.7
2021	CLE	P	10	10	0	1	0	0	1.000	-0.1
2020	CLE	P	1	1	0	0	0	0		-0.0

Runs saved covers the Statcast era; for catchers it includes framing.

Minor leagues

Year	Level	Team	Side	PA / BF	Line	AVG / ERA
2025	AAA	Reno Aces	Pit	159	33.2 IP, 19% K	9.22
2021	AAA	Columbus Clippers	Pit	119	25.2 IP, 25% K	6.79
2019	AAA	Columbus Clippers	Pit	48	12.0 IP, 33% K	2.25
2019	AA	Akron RubberDucks	Pit	105	26.0 IP, 34% K	3.12
2019	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	Pit	32	9.1 IP, 53% K	0.00
2018	A+	Lynchburg Hillcats	Pit	46	10.1 IP, 35% K	4.46
2018	A	Lake County Captains	Pit	138	35.1 IP, 37% K	0.77

Splits

Year	vs LHP	vs RHP	Home	Away
2025	0.675	0.300	0.700	0.338
2024	0.309	0.266	0.244	0.359
2023	0.328	0.369	0.404	0.284
2022	0.240	0.320	0.312	0.249
2021	0.414	0.311	0.240	0.410
2020	0.900	0.720	0.750

wOBA by split, from pitch level data, 2015 on. For pitchers the split is the batter side faced.

Postseason pitching

Year	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2023	0	0	3.60	5	0	0	5.0	6	2	2	1	1.60
Career	0	0	3.60	5	0	0	5.0	6	2	2	1	1.60