Pavin Smith

Bats L Throws L6'2" 208 lbBorn 1996 Jupiter, USADebut 2020Team ARIDraft 2014 R32 #953 Colorado Rockies, Palm Beach Gardens (FL) HS

Projections

2027 NEXT+ 93.3FIELD+ 98.9 at 1BTotal 0.40 WAR

Season	PA	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	BB	SO	SB	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	ISO	wOBA	K%	BB%	HIT+	WAR
2026	234	203	47	9	1	6	28	59	1	0.233	0.327	0.381	0.708	0.148	0.314	25.4	12.0	97.8	0.67
2027	178	156	36	7	0	5	20	44	1	0.229	0.317	0.368	0.685	0.139	0.305	24.6	11.2	95.3	0.45

Projected rates are per plate appearance or batter faced; counting stats scale with projected playing time. Statcast measurements inform these projections as inputs and are reported as measurements, not projected.

Most similar through age 29

His ten closest age-29 comparables averaged 104 HIT+ the next season; 8 of 10 played. Averages cover only the players who got a next season, which is why the played count matters.

#	Player	Through	HIT+ then	Next season	Next PA / BF
1	Brad Fullmer	2004	108.4	did not play
2	Dick Burrus	1927	96.1	104.5	159
3	Russell Branyan	2005	106.4	113.6	282
4	Sid Bream	1990	108.1	96.0	298
5	Franklin Stubbs	1990	99.5	76.6	404
6	Greg Brock	1986	108.0	111.9	602
7	Dave Nilsson	1999	107.7	did not play
8	Ben Broussard	2006	108.4	95.8	264
9	Ji-Man Choi	2020	115.4	120.9	305
10	Fred Whitfield	1967	107.3	110.6	182

Batting

Year	Team	G	PA	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HIT+
2027 proj			178		36	7	0	5		1	20	44	0.229	0.317	0.368	0.685	95.3
2026*	ARI	28	89	5	11	1	0	1		1	10	18	0.141	0.236	0.192	0.428	22.5
2025	ARI	87	287	36	63	17	1	8	28	2	41	92	0.258	0.362	0.434	0.797	122.6
2024	ARI	60	158	26	37	11	0	9	36	1	18	31	0.270	0.348	0.547	0.896	142.5
2023	ARI	69	227	26	36	5	0	7	30	1	35	45	0.188	0.317	0.325	0.642	83.1
2022	ARI	75	277	24	54	9	0	9	33	1	28	67	0.220	0.300	0.367	0.667	89.3
2021	ARI	145	545	68	133	27	4	11	49	1	42	106	0.267	0.328	0.404	0.732	98.3
2020	ARI	12	44	7	10	0	1	1	4	1	5	8	0.270	0.341	0.405	0.746	96.7
Career		448	1538	187	333	69	6	45	180	7	169	349	0.246	0.330	0.406	0.736	103.5

Pitching

Year	Team	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	HR	BB	SO	PITCH+
2024	ARI	0	0	0.00	1	0	0	1.0	5	0	1	0
Career		0	0	0.00	1	0	0	1.0	5	0	1	0

Statcast

Year	PA	EV	LA	Barrel%	HardHit%	Whiff%	Chase%	xBA	xSLG	xwOBA	Sprint
2026	89	86.1	14.6	3.3	31.1	17.2	24.7	0.188	0.253	0.255	24.6
2025	288	90.1	12.4	11.7	46.1	31.8	22.7	0.215	0.398	0.319	26.3
2024	158	90.2	13.1	14.7	44.0	21.5	17.9	0.287	0.534	0.396	26.4
2023	228	89.9	13.8	7.6	41.8	20.1	23.2	0.221	0.390	0.328	26.2
2022	277	87.9	15.2	9.9	35.9	21.7	24.1	0.212	0.380	0.301	26.6
2021	545	87.2	9.0	5.1	42.7	17.3	23.8	0.251	0.404	0.315	26.5
2020	44	86.6	8.1	6.5	29.0	23.8	18.2	0.285	0.431	0.353	26.8

Fielding

Year	Team	Pos	G	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	Fld%	Runs saved
2025	ARI	1B	36	283	230	22	1	19	0.996	-5.2
2024	ARI	OF	33	233	41	2	0	0	1.000
2024	ARI	1B	17	64	57	5	0	5	1.000	+0.4
2024	ARI	P	1	1	0	0	0	0
2023	ARI	OF	22	173	33	1	0	1	1.000
2023	ARI	1B	10	65	63	8	0	5	1.000	-3.5
2022	ARI	OF	43	328	79	2	2	1	0.976
2022	ARI	1B	10	74	60	7	0	9	1.000	-1.1
2021	ARI	OF	98	693	192	1	2	0	0.990
2021	ARI	1B	54	369	297	31	2	25	0.994	-4.3
2020	ARI	1B	5	41	40	2	0	4	1.000	+0.1
2020	ARI	OF	5	34	5	0	0	0	1.000

Runs saved covers the Statcast era; for catchers it includes framing.

Minor leagues

Year	Level	Team	Side	PA / BF	Line	AVG / ERA	OPS
2026	AAA	Reno Aces	Bat	114	3 HR, 1 SB	0.297	0.861
2024	AAA	Reno Aces	Bat	289	13 HR, 1 SB	0.318	0.997
2023	AAA	Reno Aces	Bat	290	9 HR, 2 SB	0.318	0.934
2019	AA	Jackson Generals	Bat	507	12 HR, 2 SB	0.291	0.836
2018	A+	Visalia Rawhide	Bat	504	11 HR, 3 SB	0.255	0.735

Splits

Year	vs LHP	vs RHP	Home	Away
2026	0.180	0.208	0.267	0.144
2025	0.287	0.361	0.318	0.399
2024	0.365	0.393	0.369	0.406
2023	0.221	0.321	0.302	0.303
2022	0.283	0.315	0.302	0.312
2021	0.284	0.346	0.361	0.299
2020	0.386	0.314	0.326	0.324

wOBA by split, from pitch level data, 2015 on. For pitchers the split is the batter side faced.

Postseason batting

Year	G	AB	R	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	SB	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
2023	11	10	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0.300	0.364	0.300	0.664
Career	11	10	1	3	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	0.300	0.364	0.300	0.664