Justin Sterner

Bats R Throws R6'1" 215 lbBorn 1996 La Jolla, USADebut 2024Team ATHContract 1 y/$780,000 (26) 2026: $780,000

Projections

Season	BF	K%	BB%	HR%	1B%	XBH%	PITCH+
2026	208	24.6	7.6	3.25	20.5	6.08	107.0
2027							106.7
2028							105.1

Projected rates are per plate appearance or batter faced; counting stats scale with projected playing time. Statcast measurements inform these projections as inputs and are reported as measurements, not projected.

Most similar through age 28

His ten closest age-28 comparables averaged 115 PITCH+ the next season; 9 of 10 played. Averages cover only the players who got a next season, which is why the played count matters.

#	Player	Through	PITCH+ then	Next season	Next PA / BF
1	J. P. Feyereisen	2021	110.5	162.9	86
2	Robert Garcia	2024	112.6	103.6	269
3	Ian Hamilton	2023	108.9	100.5	163
4	Sean White	2009	110.2	79.0	150
5	Nick Anderson	2019	113.8	155.1	58
6	Jordan Romano	2021	113.1	121.2	258
7	Tyson Miller	2024	108.8	did not play
8	Will Ohman	2006	111.1	97.3	168
9	John Brebbia	2018	112.0	113.4	304
10	Brad Ziegler	2008	113.1	99.9	313

Pitching

Year	Team	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	HR	BB	SO	PITCH+
2027 proj									208				106.7
2026*									184				88.4	100.0	88.4
2025	ATH	4	3	3.18	59	1	0	65.0	266	10	21	70	111.7	102.5	114.2
2024	TB	0	0	2.25	2	0	0	4.0	19	0	1	4	103.5	94.6	98.1
Career		4	3	3.13	61	1	0	69.0	285	10	22	74	111.2		113.1

Fielding

Year	Team	Pos	G	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	Fld%	Runs saved
2025	ATH	P	59	65	2	7	0	0	1.000	+0.8
2024	TB	P	2	4	0	0	0	0		-0.1

Runs saved covers the Statcast era; for catchers it includes framing.

Minor leagues

Year	Level	Team	Side	PA / BF	Line	AVG / ERA
2024	AAA	Durham Bulls	Pit	191	46.2 IP, 31% K	3.31
2023	AAA	Durham Bulls	Pit	161	35.2 IP, 26% K	5.88
2023	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	Pit	72	19.0 IP, 40% K	4.26
2022	AAA	Durham Bulls	Pit	40	7.0 IP, 22% K	12.86
2022	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	Pit	171	41.0 IP, 33% K	2.41
2021	AA	Montgomery Biscuits	Pit	113	28.0 IP, 28% K	3.54
2021	A+	Beloit Snappers	Pit	37	7.1 IP, 27% K	7.61
2021	A+	Bowling Green Hot Rods	Pit	42	9.0 IP, 38% K	3.00
2021	A+	nan	Pit	79	16.1 IP, 33% K	5.03
2021	A	Jupiter Hammerheads	Pit	48	13.0 IP, 42% K	1.38

Splits

Year	vs LHP	vs RHP	Home	Away
2026	0.299	0.421	0.411	0.309
2025	0.233	0.323	0.263	0.313
2024	0.339	0.339		0.339

wOBA by split, from pitch level data, 2015 on. For pitchers the split is the batter side faced.