Zach Eflin

Bats R Throws R6'6" 220 lbBorn 1994 Orlando, USADebut 2016Team BALDraft 2012 RC-A #33 San Diego Padres, Hagerty HS (FL)Contract 1 y/$10M (26)+27 m opt 2026: $8,000,000

Projections

Season	BF	K%	BB%	HR%	1B%	XBH%	PITCH+
2026	407	18.5	4.4	3.44	21.2	6.78	98.5
2027							99.5
2028							99.1

Projected rates are per plate appearance or batter faced; counting stats scale with projected playing time. Statcast measurements inform these projections as inputs and are reported as measurements, not projected.

Most similar through age 31

His ten closest age-31 comparables averaged 97 PITCH+ the next season; 8 of 10 played. Averages cover only the players who got a next season, which is why the played count matters.

#	Player	Through	PITCH+ then	Next season	Next PA / BF
1	Jeremy Hellickson	2018	99.6	86.9	183
2	Jason Marquis	2010	98.4	93.0	587
3	Jake Odorizzi	2021	102.4	98.1	453
4	Shaun Marcum	2013	104.1	did not play
5	Dallas Keuchel	2019	103.7	123.8	257
6	Eduardo Rodriguez	2024	103.3	88.0	694
7	Joe Musgrove	2024	103.3	did not play
8	John Thomson	2005	102.0	96.1	361
9	Michael Pineda	2020	104.7	98.6	458
10	Chris Capuano	2010	98.9	92.2	802

Batting

Year	Team	G	PA	R	H	2B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS	HIT+
2025	BAL	14	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2024	BAL	28	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2023	TB	31	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2022	PHI	20	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2021	PHI	18	37	1	0	0	0	1	1	15	0.000	0.065	0.000	0.065	-85.1
2020	PHI	11	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2019	PHI	32	52	3	8	1	0	2	0	27	0.160	0.160	0.180	0.340	-21.6
2018	PHI	25	50	3	4	0	1	1	0	31	0.091	0.091	0.159	0.250	-53.2
2017	PHI	11	22	1	3	0	0	2	0	13	0.143	0.143	0.143	0.286	-33.6
2016	PHI	11	23	2	6	2	0	0	0	8	0.261	0.261	0.348	0.609	64.0
Career		201	184	10	21	3	1	6	1	94	0.126	0.136	0.162	0.298	-33.7

Pitching

Year	Team	W	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	BF	HR	BB	SO	PITCH+
2027 proj									407				99.5
2026*									17				83.0	98.4	81.4
2025	BAL	6	5	5.93	14	14	0	71.3	309	18	13	50	81.2	103.2	84.4
2024	BAL	10	9	3.59	28	28	0	165.3	684	22	24	134	105.6	101.1	106.7
2023	TB	16	8	3.50	31	31	0	177.7	703	19	24	186	113.1	98.5	111.5
2022	PHI	3	5	4.04	20	13	1	75.7	313	8	15	65	104.7	102.1	106.8
2021	PHI	4	7	4.17	18	18	0	105.7	442	15	16	99	96.0	101.7	97.7
2020	PHI	4	2	3.97	11	10	0	59.0	245	8	15	70	100.8	105.9	106.8
2019	PHI	10	13	4.13	32	28	0	163.3	705	28	48	129	100.0	100.4	100.4
2018	PHI	11	8	4.36	24	24	0	128.0	548	16	37	123	99.1	99.6	98.7
2017	PHI	1	5	6.16	11	11	0	64.3	280	16	12	35	85.8	101.8	87.6
2016	PHI	3	5	5.54	11	11	0	63.3	272	12	17	31	92.0	99.6	91.5
Career		68	67	4.28	200	188	1	1073.7	4501	162	221	922	100.1		101.0

Statcast

Year	PA	EV	LA	Barrel%	HardHit%	Whiff%	Chase%	xBA	xSLG	xwOBA	Sprint
2021	37	82.9	-1.0	0.0	15.0	37.0	44.4	0.062	0.072	0.104	22.6
2019	52	81.9	15.1	0.0	16.0	48.1	41.8	0.155	0.203	0.154	24.8
2018	50	90.0	-5.8	9.1	21.1	51.5	47.2	0.066	0.127	0.082	23.0
2017	22	84.4	7.1	0.0	22.2	51.2	33.3	0.154	0.192	0.148
2016	23	92.3	7.5	0.0	33.3	31.3	52.9	0.219	0.253	0.207	24.1

Fielding

Year	Team	Pos	G	Inn	PO	A	E	DP	Fld%	Runs saved
2025	BAL	P	14	71	7	10	2	1	0.895	+1.2
2024	BAL	P	28	165	7	20	0	0	1.000	+0.9
2023	TB	P	31	178	13	14	0	3	1.000	-1.3
2022	PHI	P	20	76	3	13	0	1	1.000	+0.8
2021	PHI	P	18	106	7	16	1	4	0.958	+0.9
2020	PHI	P	11	59	1	9	0	0	1.000	+1.8
2019	PHI	P	32	163	13	20	1	2	0.971	+0.3
2018	PHI	P	24	128	7	20	2	1	0.931	-0.3
2017	PHI	P	11	64	5	13	1	1	0.947	+0.6
2016	PHI	P	11	63	1	8	2	0	0.818	-0.1

Runs saved covers the Statcast era; for catchers it includes framing.

Minor leagues

Year	Level	Team	Side	PA / BF	Line	AVG / ERA
2018	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	Pit	85	20.0 IP, 18% K	4.05
2017	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	Pit	190	43.1 IP, 20% K	4.59
2017	Rk	GCL Phillies	Pit	27	7.0 IP, 22% K	1.29
2016	AAA	Lehigh Valley IronPigs	Pit	263	68.1 IP, 21% K	2.91
2015	AA	Reading Fightin Phils	Pit	541	131.2 IP, 13% K	3.70
2014	A+	Lake Elsinore Storm	Pit	536	128.0 IP, 17% K	3.80
2013	A	Fort Wayne TinCaps	Pit	502	118.2 IP, 17% K	2.74
2012	Rk	AZL Padres	Pit	33	7.0 IP, 12% K	7.71

Splits

Year	vs LHP	vs RHP	Home	Away
2021	0.000	0.070	0.054	0.039
2019	0.225	0.109	0.113	0.202
2018	0.113	0.109	0.095	0.123
2017	0.000	0.169	0.225	0.075
2016	0.436	0.203	0.129	0.347

wOBA by split, from pitch level data, 2015 on. For pitchers the split is the batter side faced.

Postseason pitching

Year	L	ERA	G	GS	SV	IP	H	HR	BB	SO	WHIP
2024	0	2.25	1	1	0	4.0	4	0	1	3	1.25
2023	1	9.00	1	1	0	5.0	9	2	2	3	2.20
2022	0	3.53	10	0	1	10.2	13	1	2	12	1.47
Career	1	4.69	12	2	1	19.2	26	3	5	18	1.61